Monthly Wave Analysis

[igor pak]

The monthly Wave Analysis, August, 2009.




Currency pair USD/CHF (the monthly Wave Analysis, August, 2009).

Summing up for July, it is possible to ascertain that the price remains within the limits of the forecast described in the beginning of July.Probably on Friday 31 07 2009 years, have come to the end formation of a wave 4 of (A) which has taken the form of a Triple Three. If the assumption, truly in August it is possible to expect formation of a wave 5 of (A) of [Y] in the form of an impulse or a diagonal Triangle. More detailed reflexion of a situation will be shown in daily reports in a heading the daily Wave Analysis.

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Currency pair EUR/USD (the monthly Wave Analysis, August, 2009).

Summing up for July, it is possible to ascertain, what the price remains within the limits of the forecast described in the beginning of July. Probably on Friday 31 07 2009 years, have come to the end formation of a wave 4 of (A) which has taken the form of a Skewed Triangle. If the assumption, truly in August it is possible to expect formation of a wave 5 of (A) of [Y] in the form of an impulse or a diagonal Triangle. More detailed reflexion of a situation will be considered in daily reports in a heading the daily Wave Analysis.

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Currency pair GBP/USD (the monthly Wave Analysis, August, 2009).

July has shown, what cable, synchronously with the European currencies confirms the forecast made in the beginning of July. Probably on Friday 31 07 2009 years, have come to the end formation of a correctional wave 4 of (A) which has taken the form of a Running Triangle. If the assumption, truly in August it is possible to expect formation of a wave 5 of (A) of [Y] in the form of an impulse or a diagonal Triangle. More detailed reflexion of a situation will be shown in daily reports in a heading the daily Wave Analysis.

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Currency pair USD/JPY (the monthly Wave Analysis, August 2009)

The Japanese Yen confirms the assumptions made in the beginning of July. Within the limits of the described scenario the wave 1of (C) of [3] diagonal Triangles of a wave v which finishes the global impulse developing since 1982 is generated. If the assumption, truly in August, after end of formation of a correctional wave 2 of (C) it is possible to expect intermediate term falling of US dollar. If the price breaks critical level corresponding to the given scenario, the counting should be reconsidered. More detailed reflexion of a situation will be considered in daily reports in a heading the daily Wave Analysis.

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Igor Pak
Analyst of company Admiral Markets.
igor.pak@forextrade.ee

[igor pak]

The monthly Wave Analysis, for September, 2009


Introduction

Intense enough conditions of August among European currency pairs have not confirmed expectations of the July forecast. Besides it has filled the market with variety of possible variants which have the right to existence without a clear advantage before each other specifying to that on that that the price is in a zone бифуркации. Suggesting to consider pair of the most probable from my point of view of variants at present.

Currency pair USD/CHF (the monthly Wave Analysis, 2009)

Presumably finishes formation a wave (A) of [Y]. In one variant (rice s 3 see). The wave 4 of (A) has become a double three, and the price has started formation of an impulse or a Diagonal Triangle of a wave 5 of (A) about the termination around marks 1,01 0,99. In the second variant (rice s3d see) the wave 4 of (A) was generated earlier and already from the end of June the diagonal Triangle of a wave 5 of (A) with more "modest" purposes of the termination in the field of 1,04 is formed.


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Currency pair EUR/USD (the monthly Wave Analysis, 2009)

Presumably finishes formation a wave (A) of [Y]. In one variant (rice s 3 see). The wave 4 of (A) has become a double three, and the price has started formation of an impulse or a Diagonal Triangle of a wave 5 of (A) with the termination around marks 1,49-1,52. In the second variant (rice s3d see) the wave 4 of (A) was generated earlier and already the middle of June the diagonal Triangle of a wave 5 of (A) with more "modest" purposes of the termination in the field of 1,45 1,47 is formed.

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Currency pair GBP/USD (the monthly Wave Analysis, 2009)

Variant 1.рисунок s1-1b. The wave 4 of (A) which has become a double three is presumably generated. If the assumption, truly, the price has started formation of an impulse or a diagonal Triangle of a wave 5 of (A) with the termination in the field of 1,80-4,85.
Variant 2. Drawing 1-1b d the Wave 4 of (A) was generated earlier and already from the beginning of June the Diagonal Triangle of a wave 5 of (A) with the termination in the field of 1,74 1,77 is formed.

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Currency pair USD/JPY (the monthly Wave Analysis, 2009)

The yen remains within the limits of the forecast. The impulse of a wave 3 of (C) of [3] prospective diagonal Triangles of a wave v is presumably formed. If the assumption is true, in September it is possible to expect forward easing доллараСША.

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Igor Pak
Analyst of company Admiral Markets.
igor.pak@forextrade.ee

[igor pak]

The monthly Wave Analysis, for October, 2009.




Currency pair USD/CHF

Movement of the Swiss remains within the limits of the scenario s3 Triangle. The basic intrigue of October there is a formation of top of a wave (A) of [Y] and the beginning of formation of a large correctional wave (B) of [Y]. In drawings two of possible variants of succession of events according to the considered scenario are presented. Probably wave (A) of [Y] is already generated in the form of an impulse 1-2-3-4-5 with a wave 5 of (A) in the form of a large Diagonal Triangle and the first waves of correction (B) of [Y] are already formed. Other, not less probable scenario, says that to a full complete set of a wave (A) of [Y] the price still should generate pair of final waves within the limits of formation of a wave 5 of (A) of [Y].

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Currency pair EUR/USD

Euro movement remains within the limits of the scenario s3 Triangle. The basic intrigue of October there is a formation of top of a wave (A) of [Y] and the beginning of formation of a large correctional wave (B) of [Y]. In drawings two of possible variants of succession of events of century Probably wave (A) of [Y] are presented is already generated in the form of an impulse 1-2-3-4-5 with a wave 5 of (A) in ввиде a large Diagonal Triangle and the first waves of correction (B) of [Y] are already formed. Other, not less probable scenario, says that to a full complete set of a wave (A) of [Y] the price still should generate pair of final waves within the limits of formation of a wave 5 of (A) of [Y].

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Currency pair GBP/USD

The cable advances the European colleagues a little. Presumably the large correctional wave (B) of [Y] is already formed. Judging by the first waves it is possible to assume a wave (B) of [Y] will take the form of a certain long correction which are characterised rather not by the big depth, but are enduring enough.

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Currency pair USD/JPY

Yen it is forward moves within the limits of the accepted scenario. The wave () of [3] large Diagonal Triangles of a wave v is formed.

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In more details it is possible to familiarise with a current situation in a heading «the daily Wave Analysis».



Igor Pak.
Analyst of company Admiral Markets.
igor.pak@forextrade.ee

At any use of the analytical material taken from a site of company Admiral Markets, and the secondary publication on any other resources, the rights to intellectual property for a dealing centre «Admiral Markets», the reference to a company site is obligatory.

[igor pak]

The monthly Wave Analysis, for November, 2009.




Currency pair USD/CHF

The top generated or finishing formation can be a starting point for two actual scenarios which can be realised in November.

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1. Within the limits of constantly considered scenario S3 Triangle wave formation (A) of [X] is presumably finished. If the assumption, truly in November the correctional structure - a wave (B) of [X] will develop. At present about its form with большей or smaller confidence to speak early. At the same time within the limits of scenario S3 Triangle EX it is not excluded that the wave (A) of [X] still will continue formation as realisation of waves [iv] and [v] of 5 of (A), and only after that growth of US dollar as a correctional wave (B) of [X] will begin.

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2. The second not less interesting variant - S3 z does not contradict expected growth of US dollar, however if it is realised, scales of this growth will be more impressing. The idea of this scenario is not new, but at present deserves большего attention. Presumably a wave [X] of z only at a stage of formation and within the limits of its construction it is generated or finishes formation a Double Zigzag (B) of [X]. If the assumption, truly, shortly it is possible to expect impulse or Diagonal Triangle formation (C) of [Y].

Currency pair EUR/USD

The euro operates identically to the Swiss. The top generated or finishing formation can be a starting point for two actual scenarios which can be realised in November.

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1. Within the limits of constantly considered scenario S3 Triangle wave formation (A) of [X] is presumably finished. If the assumption, truly in November the correctional structure - a wave (B) of [X] will develop. At present about its form with большей or smaller confidence to speak early. At the same time within the limits of scenario S3 Triangle EX it is not excluded that the wave (A) of [X] still will continue formation as realisation of waves [iv] and [v] of 5 of (A), and only after that growth of US dollar as a correctional wave (B) of [X] will begin.

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2. Second not less interesting variant S3 z does not contradict expected growth of US dollar, however if it is realised, scales of this growth will be more impressing. The idea of this scenario is not new, but at present deserves большего attention. Presumably a wave [X] of z only at a stage of formation and within the limits of its construction it is generated or finishes formation a Double Zigzag (B) of [X]. If the assumption, truly, shortly it is possible to expect impulse or Diagonal Triangle formation (C) of [Y].

Currency pair GBP/USD

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In October the cable moved according to the forecast. And while there are no reasons to change the considered scenario. Wave B of (B) is presumably formed. If the assumption, truly in November it is possible to expect the termination of formation of a wave of B and growth of pair as formation of an impulse or a wave Diagonal Triangle [c] of B.

[B]Currency pair USD/JPY

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The yen also has justified expectations of October. In November wave formation () of [3] large Diagonal Triangles v will presumably proceed.




Igor Pak.
Analyst of company Admiral Markets.
igor.pak@forextrade.ee

At any use of the analytical material taken from a site of company Admiral Markets, and the secondary publication on any other resources, the rights to intellectual property for a dealing centre «Admiral Markets», the reference to a company site is obligatory.

[igor pak]

The monthly Wave Analysis for December, 2009.

Currency pair USD/CHF

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I will remind, that in the forecast for November, 2009 two probable scenarios of succession of events were considered. Their basic difference consisted in the beginning of a coil of strengthening of US dollar and about its scales. The wave picture which has developed in November says that December, most likely the US dollar falling, still any time will proceed. At the same time the question on scales of strengthening of dollar after achievement of a point of a minimum by it within the limits of formed model, will be opened till a time, there will not be passed yet test objective levels according to that or other scenario. So the forecast for December will be directed on expectation of achievement by US dollar of a local minimum which can be described, leaning on one of possible scenarios.
Within the limits of scenario S 3z wave formation iv of (v) of [c] comes to an end. Presumably it takes the form of a Skewed Triangle. If the assumption, truly in December it is possible to count on continuation of US dollar as wave formation v of (v) of [c].

Currency pair EUR/USD

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I will remind, that in the forecast for November, 2009 two probable scenarios of succession of events were considered. Their basic difference consisted in the beginning of a coil of strengthening of US dollar and about its scales. The wave picture which has developed in November says that December, most likely the US dollar falling, still any time will proceed. At the same time the question on scales of strengthening of dollar after achievement of a point of a minimum by it within the limits of formed model, will be opened until there will be passed test objective levels according to that or other scenario. So the forecast for December will be directed on expectation of achievement by US dollar of a local minimum which can be described, leaning on one of possible scenarios.
Within the limits of scenario S 3z wave formation iv of (v) of [c] comes to an end. Presumably it takes the form of a Skewed Triangle. If the assumption, truly in December it is possible to count on continuation of US dollar as wave formation v of (v) of [c].

Currency pair GBP/USD

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November has shown, that the cable moves according to the accepted scenario. Formation of wave B of (B) presumably proceeds. Probably, it will take the form of a simple Zigzag at which wave formation of B comes to an end. If, the assumption, truly then in December the US dollar concerning cable will synchronously fall with the European currencies.

[B]Currency pair USD/JPY

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The wave picture generated by Yen in November, corresponded to the basic expectations and while remains within the limits of the forecast. The impulse is formed (C) of [2] which formation will proceed in December.




Igor Pak.
Analyst of company Admiral Markets.
igor.pak@forextrade.ee

At any use of the analytical material taken from a site of company Admiral Markets, and the secondary publication on any other resources, the rights to intellectual property for a dealing centre «Admiral Markets», the reference to a company site is obligatory.

[igor pak]

The monthly Wave Analysis, for January, 2010.




Currency pair USD/CHF

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In the offered scenario on the senior timeframes the large correctional wave [X] of z presumably is formed. Probably, it will take the form of a Triangle or other Corrective Combination. It is not excluded that within the limits of this scenario the wave (B) of [X] which has taken the form of a Double Zigzag is already generated. If the assumption, truly in January it is possible to expect end of formation of an impulse [i] of A and the beginnings of development of correction [ii] of A.

Currency pair EUR/USD

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In the offered scenario on the senior timeframes the large correctional wave [X] of z presumably is formed. Probably, it will take the form of a Triangle or other Corrective Combination. It is not excluded that within the limits of this scenario the wave (B) of [X] which has taken the form of a Double Zigzag is already generated. If the assumption, truly in January it is possible to expect end of formation of an impulse [i] of A and the beginnings of development of correction [ii] of A.

Currency pair GBP/USD

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Presumably the cable is occupied by wave formation (B) of [Y] of x in which frameworks by the present moment Zigzag A of (B) if this assumption is generated, truly in January it is possible to count more likely on correctional movement in respect of formation of wave B of (B).

Currency pair USD/JPY

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Long enough growth of pair in the end of the last year has forced to reconsider a counting in details, however the basic idea while remained without changes. The wave is presumably formed () of [3] which takes the form of a Diagonal Triangle. If, the assumption, truly in January it is possible to expect the beginning of falling of pair within the limits of impulse formation [a] of 5 of (C).




Igor Pak.
Analyst of company Admiral Markets.
igor.pak@forextrade.ee

At any use of the analytical material taken from a site of company Admiral Markets, and the secondary publication on any other resources, the rights to intellectual property for a dealing centre «Admiral Markets», the reference to a company site is obligatory.

[igor pak]

The monthly Wave Analysis, for February, 2010.




Currency pair USD/CHF

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The concept of intermediate term development while remains without changes. The large correctional wave [X] of z is presumably formed. It is not excluded, that by the present moment the wave (B) of [X] is already generated. The form of a prospective wave [X] at present, unfortunately is not predicted - in a current situation it can become any correctional model. However if the assumption is true in February logically to expect continuation of strengthening of US dollar as formation of impulse A of (C). The alternative scenario (as it often happens) opposite does not exclude the beginning of a new coil of easing of US dollar. One of possible variants of this easing is wave end xx of (B) and the beginning of formation of a wave z of (B).

Currency pair EUR/USD

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The euro mirror displays moods of the brother of the twin. The concept of intermediate term development while remains without changes. The large correctional wave [X] of z is presumably formed. It is not excluded, that by the present moment the wave (B) of [X] is already generated. The form of a prospective wave [X] at present, unfortunately is not predicted - in a current situation it can become any correctional model. However if the assumption is true in February logically to expect continuation of strengthening of US dollar as formation of impulse A of (C). The alternative scenario (as it often happens) opposite does not exclude the beginning of a new coil of easing of US dollar. One of possible variants of this easing is wave end xx of (B) and the beginning of formation of a wave z of (B).

Currency pair GBP/USD

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The cable as well as European currency steams in the basic scenario it is adjusted to hand over positions to the American dollar. The basic idea while remains without changes - the large correctional wave [Y] of x, probably is presumably formed, within the limits of this assumption the wave (A) of [Y] is already generated and the price is occupied by formation of a correctional wave (B) of [Y]. At present a wave picture does not exclude wave development (B) of [Y] in the form of a simple Zigzag. At the same time the intrigue of the beginning of a new coil of easing of US dollar is here too actual enough (look the following drawing). In the given interpretation it is quite possible, that there (B) of [Y] finishes the formation in the form of a Flat. The choice as always remains behind the price. But the situation analysis on smaller a time frames will help to be defined in advance with alternatives.

Currency pair USD/JPY

http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=12549&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1264961718 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=12549&d=1264961718)http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=12550&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1264961718 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=12550&d=1264961718)http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=12551&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1264961718 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=12551&d=1264961718)

The yen while remains within the limits of the forecast. The wave [3] of v a large Diagonal Triangle in which frameworks is presumably formed formation of a wave 5 of (C) of [3] has begun. If the assumption truly that quite probably that in February develops correction [x] of 5 of (C). By the way it not a unique possible variant but while critical levels not are broken I will to adhere to this variant.


Igor Pak.
Analyst of company Admiral Markets.
igor.pak@forextrade.ee

At any use of the analytical material taken from a site of company Admiral Markets, and the secondary publication on any other resources, the rights to intellectual property for a dealing centre «Admiral Markets», the reference to a company site is obligatory.

[igor pak]

The monthly Wave Analysis, for March, 2010.




Currency pair USD/CHF

http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=13340&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1267380555 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=13340&d=1267380555)http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=13341&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1267380555 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=13341&d=1267380555)

As a whole the idea of wave structure which was considered in February remained without changes. Development of a large correctional wave [X] of z which will probably take the form of a horizontal Triangle or other kind of a Corrective Combination presumably proceeds. Within the limits of this scenario formation of impulse A or 1 of (C) presumably comes to the end. If it so it is possible, in March develops a certain correctional structure of wave B or 2 of With.

Currency pair EUR/USD

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The euro as remains within the limits of the forecast for February. Development of a large correctional wave [X] of z which will probably take the form of a horizontal Triangle or other kind of a Corrective Combination presumably proceeds. Within the limits of this scenario formation of impulse A or 1 of (C) presumably comes to the end. If it so it is possible, in March develops a certain correctional structure of wave B or 2 of With.

Currency pair GBP/USD

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The cable has confirmed expectations of February assumptions. Probably, formation of wave A of (B) within the limits of development of a correctional wave [Y] x. Eсли, the assumption, truly March will be devoted formation of correctional structure B of (B) now comes to an end.

Currency pair USD/JPY

http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=13346&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1267380581 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=13346&d=1267380581)http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=13347&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1267380581 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=13347&d=1267380581)

Presumably development of a wave 5 of (C) of [3] which proceeds becomes a Diagonal Triangle. At smaller level the wave [x] of 5 is probably already generated and the price has already started formation of the next Zigzag [y] of 5. If the assumption, truly, in March it is possible to expect formation of a correctional wave (b) of [v], after which termination of steam will continue decrease as wave formation () of [y] of 5.




Igor Pak.
Analyst of company Admiral Markets.
igor.pak@forextrade.ee

At any use of the analytical material taken from a site of company Admiral Markets, and the secondary publication on any other resources, the rights to intellectual property for a dealing centre «Admiral Markets», the reference to a company site is obligatory.

[igor pak]

The monthly Wave Analysis, for April, 2010.




Currency pair USD/CHF

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On seniors the time frames presumably proceeds formation of impulse A of (C). It is obvious, that time to start correction B "planned" in March of (C) has not come yet. In turn the parity of waves of smaller level allows to specify structure of formed movement of the price. Presumably by the given moment the wave [iv] of A is generated and the price has started wave formation [v] of A. Presumably the wave [v] of A takes the form of a Diagonal Triangle.

Currency pair EUR/USD

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On seniors the time frames presumably proceeds formation of impulse A of (C). It is obvious, that time to start correction B "planned" in March of (C) has not come yet. In turn the parity of waves of smaller level allows to specify structure of formed movement of the price. Presumably by the given moment the wave [iv] of A is generated and the price has started wave formation [v] of A. It will be possible an impulse or a Diagonal Triangle. In the presented variant of a counting a wave [iii] = ~127 % * [i], this fact indirectly specifies in possible Extension in a wave [v] of A.

Currency pair GBP/USD

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Long falling of Cable puts in the forefront a little bit other interpretation of descending price movement from the end of last year. Probably, Double Zigzag W-X-Y of (B) in which frameworks the price is formed has started wave formation (v) of [a] of Y. If the assumption, truly in April cable falling will proceed in the form of an impulse or a Diagonal Triangle. During too time an alternative variant (look alternative) while also has every chance on realisation. The behaviour of the price at smaller levels can prompt the most probable outcome of events in advance.

Currency pair USD/JPY

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The idea of intermediate term development a situation while remains without changes. The Diagonal Triangle () of [3] is presumably formed. Probably, within the limits of the given assumption by the given moment it is generated a wave 4 of (С) and the price has already started formation of a final Zigzag 5 of (C). However the affinity to critical level compels to hold an alternative variant in mind. In the circumstances the probability of continuation of formation of a wave 4 of 5 is great. And while it is impossible with sufficient probability, to speak about that what, it will accept model. The pair of possible variants is put on the chart.



Igor Pak.
Analyst of company Admiral Markets.
igor.pak@forextrade.ee

At any use of the analytical material taken from a site of company Admiral Markets, and the secondary publication on any other resources, the rights to intellectual property for a dealing centre «Admiral Markets», the reference to a company site is obligatory.

[igor pak]

The monthly Wave Analysis, for May, 2010.




Currency pair USD/CHF

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While intermediate term expectations remain without changes. The final fifth wave [v] large impulse A or 1 of (C) is presumably formed. One of possible variants of its realisation is Diagonal Triangle formation at which the wave (i) of [v] was generated. If the assumption, truly the part of May will be devoted formation of a correctional wave (ii) of [v] after end which US dollar strengthening will proceed. (eur usd downwards).
At the same time proportions of ascending movement which is formed from the end of last year, allow to consider, that by the given moment impulse A or 1 of (C) already is completely generated also the price has already started formation of correctional wave B of (C). In this case intermediate term prospects of US dollar others. And though the given assumption still demands the acknowledgement better to be ready to it in advance.

Currency pair EUR/USD

http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=15060&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1272818041 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=15060&d=1272818041)http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=15061&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1272818041 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=15061&d=1272818041)

While intermediate term expectations remain without changes. The final fifth wave [v] large impulse A or 1 of (C) is presumably formed. One of possible variants of its realisation is Diagonal Triangle formation at which the wave (i) of [v] was generated. If the assumption, truly the part of May will be devoted formation of a correctional wave (ii) of [v] after end which US dollar strengthening will proceed. (eur usd downwards).
At the same time proportions of descending movement which is formed from the end of the past, allow to consider year, that by the given moment impulse A or 1 of (C) already is completely generated also the price has already started formation of correctional wave B of (C). In this case intermediate term prospects of US dollar others. And though the given assumption still demands the acknowledgement better to be ready to it in advance.

Currency pair GBP/USD

http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=15062&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1272818100 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=15062&d=1272818100)http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=15063&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1272818100 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=15063&d=1272818100)http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=15064&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1272818100 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=15064&d=1272818100)http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=15065&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1272818100 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=15065&d=1272818100)

It is obvious, that the price has preferred an alternative variant of a counting which has been presented in the forecast for April. I will remind its idea: the correctional wave Zigzag Y, within the limits of formation of a large wave (B) of [X] is presumably formed.
Probably wave [b] of Y takes the form of a Triple Zigzag, and the part of May will be devoted ascending movement of pair within the limits of wave construction (z) of [b]. Overcoming of the price of a mark 1,5524 will be acknowledgement of this scenario. It is necessary to note that probability of that that the wave [b] of Y is already generated also exists but in my opinion its urgency falls.
Moreover the variant has notable probability has a variant more with more serious consequences for US dollar in immediate prospects (look a variant 1с). Its idea that the wave (B) of [Y] is already generated in the form of a Double Zigzag, and ascending movement which is formed from the end of March, 2010 is a wave of 1 large impulse () of [X] with all consequences following from here. But it is not necessary to hurry events as the given assumption still demands the complex of acknowledgement.

[B]Currency pair USD/JPY

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The working counting of intermediate term movement is a little changed. However idea and expectations while remain former. Formation of a wave [4] large Diagonal Triangles v presumably proceeds. Probably, it takes the form of a Double Three and after its termination the price will start to fall, forming the next Zigzag [5 v. during too time there is no confidence that the wave [4] of 5 will not accept more difficult form being transformed in a Triple Three or a horizontal Triangle. If the assumption, truly, that, most likely the most part of May is devoted continuation of growth of pair as formation of Zigzag Y of (Y) of [4].




Igor Pak.
Analyst of company Admiral Markets.
igor.pak@forextrade.ee

At any use of the analytical material taken from a site of company Admiral Markets, and the secondary publication on any other resources, the rights to intellectual property for a dealing centre «Admiral Markets», the reference to a company site is obligatory.

[igor pak]

The monthly Wave Analysis for June, 2010.




Currency pair USD/CHF

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The price has confirmed the assumptions made in the beginning of May, concerning continuation of growth of US dollar. (The basic scenario, the forecast for May, 2010) see. Now level of considered models, however an essence from it is changed has not exchanged. The wave [C] of an a large, correctional wave (b) is presumably formed. It is not excluded, that by the present moment the impulse (1) of [C] is actually finished. If the assumption is true, in the near future it will be quite logical to expect the beginning of falling of US dollar, as formation of a wave (2) of [C]. During too time it is impossible to exclude a variant, that as an ascending impulse which is formed from the beginning of last year, all wave [C] of a (see alternative) comes to the end. In this case character and depth of expected descending movement will be others. But it is not necessary to run forward as while about it to speak prematurely.

Currency pair EUR/USD

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The European currency also has justified expectations of the beginning of May concerning continuation of growth of US dollar. (The basic scenario, the forecast for May, 2010) see. Now level of considered models, however an essence from it is changed has not exchanged. The wave [C] of an a large, correctional wave (b) is presumably formed. It can take the form of an impulse or a Diagonal Triangle. It is not excluded, that by the present moment the impulse (1) of [C] is actually finished. If the assumption is true, in the near future it will be quite logical to expect the beginning of falling of US dollar, (eur usd upwards) as formation of a wave (2) of [C]. During too time it is impossible to exclude a variant, that as descending movement which is formed from the beginning of last year, all wave [C] of a (see alternative) comes to the end. In this case character and depth of expected ascending movement will be others. But it is not necessary to run forward as while about it to speak prematurely.

Currency pair GBP/USD

http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=15670&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1275240127 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=15670&d=1275240127)http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=15671&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1275240127 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=15671&d=1275240127)

The cable has confirmed expectations of May, within the limits of the scenario 1 with triangle. Impulse formation [c] of Y of (B) presumably comes to the end. If the assumption is true, it is possible to expect the beginning of intermediate term falling of US dollar (gbp usd upwards) as impulse or Diagonal Triangle formation (C) of [Y]. However acknowledgement on that the wave (B) of [Y] comes to an end is not present, and is quite possible, that it will take the form of a Triple Zigzag. But even in this case becomes ripe a turn of an intermediate term trend of pair upwards. Character and depth of this movement will help to specify preferences of the price.

Currency pair USD/JPY

http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=15672&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1275240127 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=15672&d=1275240127)http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=15673&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1275240127 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=15673&d=1275240127)

The wave [4] large v. probably the price is presumably generated has started formation of a wave [5] of v. If the assumption is true, in the intermediate term plan pair falling will proceed as formation of an impulse or a wave Wedge (A) of [5].




Igor Pak.
Analyst of company Admiral Markets.
igor.pak@forextrade.ee

At any use of the analytical material taken from a site of company Admiral Markets, and the secondary publication on any other resources, the rights to intellectual property for a dealing centre «Admiral Markets», the reference to a company site is obligatory.

[igor pak]

The monthly Wave Analysis for July, 2010.




Currency pair USD/CHF

While the pair is in frameworks of the forecast which has been made for June.

(http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?)http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=15658&d=1275239726

http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=15659&d=1275239726

Presumably, the wave (1) of [C] of [3] is generated also the price has already started formation of a correctional wave (2) of [C] of [3]. Probably, it will take the form of a simple Zigzag in which frameworks wave A of (2) is formed. If the assumption is true, in July the US dollar will continue falling within the limits of formation of wave A of (2) then will start recovery as construction of correctional wave B of (2).

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Currency pair EUR/USD

Euro while as well as swiss remains within the limits of the June forecast.

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Presumably, the wave (1) of [C] of [3] is generated also the price has already started formation of a correctional wave (2) of [C] of [3]. Probably, it will take the form of a simple Zigzag. However it is visible, that concerning euro US dollar not to hurry up to fall. Probably, the first wave [i] of A of (2) is generated only and at the given stage the correctional wave [ii] of A is formed. Eсли it so, in July it is possible to expect continuation of falling of US dollar (eur usd upwards), as wave formation [iii] or [c] of A.

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Currency pair GBP/USD

Presumably the cable has finished a wave (B) of [Y], look the forecast for June,

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Also the first waves of an impulse or a Diagonal Triangle () of [Y] are already formed.
Probably, at present finishes formation a wedge [i] of 1 of (C). If the assumption is true, the part of July will be devoted formation of a correctional wave [ii] of (1) then US dollar falling will proceed with new force as impulse formation [iii] of 1

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Currency pair USD/JPY

The yen while moves within the limits of the June forecast,

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In too time the complete set of waves at smaller levels compels to look at an overall picture under other corner of sight.
Probably wave [4] of v still will continue the formation as a Double Three (W) - (X) - (Y) in which frameworks, formation of a wave of a sheaf X of (Y) of [4] at present comes to an end.
If the assumption is true, in July it is necessary to expect growth of US dollar as formation of wave Y of (Y) of [4].

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Igor Pak.
Analyst of company Admiral Markets.
igor.pak@forextrade.ee

At any use of the analytical material taken from a site of company Admiral Markets, and the secondary publication on any other resources, the rights to intellectual property for a dealing centre «Admiral Markets», the reference to a company site is obligatory.

[igor pak]

The monthly Wave Analysis for August, 2010.




Currency pair USD/CHF

http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=17369&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1280702494 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=17369&d=1280702494)http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=17370&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1280702494 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=17370&d=1280702494)

While the assumptions made in the beginning of July are justified. Within the limits of formation of a prospective wave (2) of [C] or [3] formation of an impulse And of (2) comes to an end. At the same time depth of falling gives certain colouring to a Wave Structure. It is impossible to exclude possibilities of that at the given stage, all wave (2) of [C] of [3] comes to an end. Anyhow, if assumptions are true, in August it is necessary to expect pair growth. In the basic scenario it will be formation of correctional wave B of [C] or [3]. If the structure of an ascending trend is transformed to an impulse, the counting will be reconsidered, that will find reflexion in daily reports in a Wave Analysis heading.

Currency pair EUR/USD

http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=17371&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1280702494 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=17371&d=1280702494)http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=17372&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1280702494 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=17372&d=1280702494)

While the euro adheres to the forecast. Formation of wave A of (2) comes to an end. Unlike the Swiss the zigzag structure here is formed, that in turn increases quantity of variants for formation of wave B of (2). As it is impossible to exclude possibility of that all wave (2) of [C] of 3 comes to the end. Anyhow, if assumptions are true, in August it is possible to expect US dollar strengthening (eur usd downwards). If the structure of descending movement is transformed to an impulse, the counting will be reconsidered that will find reflexion in daily reports in a heading "Wave Analysis".

Currency pair GBP/USD

http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=17373&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1280702517 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=17373&d=1280702517)http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=17374&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1280702517 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=17374&d=1280702517)

In the middle of July the counting of the senior levels of a cable has been reconsidered, but as a matter of fact, for the forecast of movement of the July made in the beginning, it had no basic value. Within the limits of the updated counting, presumably finishes formation Zigzag W of (Y), a correctional wave [X] of y. If the assumption is true, in August it is possible to expect cable falling, within the limits of formation of a correctional wave X of (Y) of [X].

Currency pair USD/JPY

http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=17375&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1280702517 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=17375&d=1280702517)http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=17376&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1280702517 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=17376&d=1280702517)

Presumably formation of a wave X of (Y) comes to an end. If the assumption is true, in August it is possible to expect growth of pair as wave formation (Y) of [4].



Igor Pak.
Analyst of company Admiral Markets.
igor.pak@forextrade.ee

At any use of the analytical material taken from a site of company Admiral Markets, and the secondary publication on any other resources, the rights to intellectual property for a dealing centre «Admiral Markets», the reference to a company site is obligatory.

[igor pak]

Facultative pairs (EUR JPY, EUR GBP, EUR CHF, EUR CHF, GBP JPY, USD CAD, AUD USD)
The monthly Wave Analysis for August, 2010.



EUR JPY

http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=17427&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1280778243 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=17427&d=1280778243)http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=17428&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1280778243 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=17428&d=1280778243)

The current counting of seniors a time of frames while remains without changes. The impulse 5 of (C) of in which frameworks the Expanded Flat [iv] of 5 is finished is presumably formed. If the assumption is true, in August it is possible to expect pair falling, as impulse or Diagonal Triangle formation [v] of 5.

[B]EUR GBP

http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=17429&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1280778243 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=17429&d=1280778243)http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=17430&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1280778243 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=17430&d=1280778243)
While euro cable remains within the limits of the forecast. Presumably, the wave (4) of [C] is finished and formation of an impulse or a Diagonal Triangle (5) of [C] has begun. Probably, within the limits of a wave 1 of (5) the wave [ii] of 1 is formed. If the assumption is true, in August it is possible to expect the formation termination воны [ii] of 1, and renewal of an ascending trend as an impulse [iii] of 1 of (5).

EUR CHF

http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=17431&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1280778268 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=17431&d=1280778268)http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=17432&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1280778268 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=17432&d=1280778268)

Within the limits of the modified counting the wave 4 of (C) is formed. It is not excluded, that its formation is finished in the form of a Double Zigzag. However by the current moment acknowledgement to it is not present. Quite probably, that the wave 4 of (C) is transformed to a Triple Zigzag. That not мене after its end, it is possible to expect continuation of a descending trend as formation of an impulse or a Diagonal Triangle 5 of (C).

GBP JPY

http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=17433&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1280778268 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=17433&d=1280778268)http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=17434&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1280778268 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=17434&d=1280778268)
While intermediate term expectations have not changed. Formation of an impulse With of (B) presumably proceeds. Probably, at the given stage, finishes formation a Double Zigzag [iv] of C of (B). At the same time, duration and depth of a prospective wave [iv] of C have reached limiting values that gives certain weight to an alternative variant. (The wave (B) of [2] is generated and the impulse (of [2]) is already formed. In such situation the great value gets passage by test objective levels and formation on smaller a time frames.

USD CAD

http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=17435&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1280778287 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=17435&d=1280778287)http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=17436&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1280778287 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=17436&d=1280778287)

July expectations concerning the termination of wave B of (B) have appeared premature. However intermediate term expectations while remain without change. Probably wave B of (B) has decided to take the form of a Triple Three and at present the next wave-sheaf [X] of B comes to the end. If the assumption is true, in August it is necessary to expect growth of US dollar as wave formation [z] of B then, it will be possible to expect falling of pair as wave formation [v] of C of (B).

AUD USD

http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=17437&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1280778287 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=17437&d=1280778287)http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=17438&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1280778287 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=17438&d=1280778287)

While the Australian remains within the limits of the forecast. Formation of a correctional wave (2) of [C] presumably comes to the end. If the assumption is true, in August it is necessary to expect falling of pair as formation of the first waves of an impulse (3) of [C].

Igor Pak.
Analyst of company Admiral Markets.
igor.pak@forextrade.ee

At any use of the analytical material taken from a site of company Admiral Markets, and the secondary publication on any other resources, the rights to intellectual property for a dealing centre «Admiral Markets», the reference to a company site is obligatory.

[igor pak]

The monthly Wave Analysis for September, 2010.




Currency pair USD/CHF

http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=18142&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1283377194 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=18142&d=1283377194)http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=18143&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1283377194 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=18143&d=1283377194)http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=18144&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1283377194 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=18144&d=1283377194)

The price comes nearer to critical level of the scenario which was considered throughout enough long time. And though it is not broken yet, in the circumstances, there is a sense to consider pair of the alternatives considering this circumstance.
The idea of one of them is based that the correctional wave a global wave an of (b) still continues the development. Unfortunately, at present, there is no possibility to make the assumption of the future model. As is known waves «b» can take the form of any correctional model. By that not мене it is not excluded that the wave [b] of a takes the form of a Flat, in which frameworks the impulse () of [b] at present is formed. Therefore, if the assumption is true, in среднесрочно, it is possible to expect the further falling of US dollar. The analysis of constructions at smaller level will help to define the future model more precisely. Also it will accordingly be defined with parametres of trading plans.
In too time, possibility of is not excluded that the wave an of (b) is already generated also the price has already started construction of a correctional wave b of (b) - look alternative. In this case it is possible to expect more scale falling of US dollar but while about it to speak prematurely.

[B]Currency pair EUR/USD

http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=18145&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1283377194 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=18145&d=1283377194)http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=18146&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1283377194 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=18146&d=1283377194)http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=18147&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1283377219 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=18147&d=1283377219)

On analogies to the Swiss, the scenario of development of euro also it is reconsidered. Presumably, formation of a correctional wave a global wave and of (b) proceeds. Unfortunately, at present, there is no possibility to be defined with the future model. Probably, it takes the form of a Flat correction, in which frameworks the price already forms an impulse or a Diagonal Triangle () of [b]. If the assumption is true, in intermediate term prospect, it is logical to expect the further falling of US dollar.
In too time, possibility of is not excluded that the wave an of (b) is already generated also the price has already started and to construction of a correctional wave b of (b) - look alternative. In this case it is possible to expect more scale falling of US dollar but while this scenario costs on the second plan.

[B]Currency pair GBP/USD

http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=18148&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1283377219 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=18148&d=1283377219)http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=18149&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1283377219 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=18149&d=1283377219)

Unlike European pairs, the cable has not changed expectations. As a whole, the pair is in forecast frameworks. Presumably, development of a correctional wave [X] of y proceeds. Probably, it will become a Double Three in which frameworks the wave X of (Y) of [X], at present, is formed. If the assumption is true, after its termination it is logical to expect continuation of an ascending trend in intermediate term prospect. At the same time, while as it is possible, that the wave [X] of y becomes a Flat and at present, the correctional wave 2 impulses () of [X] is formed - look alternative. As a matter of fact it does not influence expectations, but speaks about more powerful potential of growth of English currency.

Currency pair USD/JPY

http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=18150&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1283377219 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=18150&d=1283377219)http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=18151&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1283377219 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=18151&d=1283377219)

Assumed in the beginning of August the wave X of (Y) left a range of comprehensible values, this circumstance allows will return to earlier considered scenario - S1 a аlternate which, at present, looks quite optimum. Within the limits of this scenario the impulse [c] of 5 Diagonal Triangles () of [3], presumably, comes to the end. Therefore, if the assumption is true, after its end it is possible to count on pair growth in Corrective Style as a wave [4] of v. At the same time it is not excluded, that all Diagonal Triangle v of (a) comes to the end. Depth of expected correction can be the help in the given question.



Igor Pak.
Analyst of company Admiral Markets.
igor.pak@forextrade.ee

At any use of the analytical material taken from a site of company Admiral Markets, and the secondary publication on any other resources, the rights to intellectual property for a dealing centre «Admiral Markets», the reference to a company site is obligatory.

[igor pak]

Facultative pairs, the monthly Wave Analysis for September, 2010.



EUR JPY

http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=18191&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1283441552 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=18191&d=1283441552)http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=18192&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1283441552 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=18192&d=1283441552)

While the pair is in frameworks of the forecast made in the beginning of August. Presumably, the impulse [v] of 5 is formed. The possible variant of its counting is presented in drawing.
If the assumption is true, in September, it is possible to expect continuation of decrease in pair as an impulse or a Diagonal Triangle v of (iii).

EUR GBP

http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=18193&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1283441552 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=18193&d=1283441552)http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=18194&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1283441552 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=18194&d=1283441552)

Assumptions made in the beginning of August while prove to be true. The wave [ii] of 1 which has taken the form of a deep Double Zigzag is presumably generated. If the assumption is true, in September it is possible to count on growth of pair as impulse or wedge construction [iii] of 1. At the same time, while the price has not overcome acknowledgement level, there is a probability of realisation of the alternative scenario.

EUR CHF

http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=18195&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1283441586 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=18195&d=1283441586)http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=18198&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1283441614 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=18198&d=1283441614)

While the price moves according to the forecast. The wave 5 of (C) of [Y] is formed. The possible variant of a counting of its counting is shown in drawing. If the assumption is true, in September it is possible to count on continuation of a descending trend.

GBP JPY

http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=18199&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1283441642 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=18199&d=1283441642)http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=18200&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1283441642 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=18200&d=1283441642)

As a whole expectations have not changed, while the pair to be frameworks of the basic scenario. The impulse [v] of C of (B) in which frameworks the impulse (v) of [v] is formed presumably develops. If the assumption is true, in September it is possible to expect continuation of a descending trend as the impulse or Diagonal Triangle termination (v) of [v] of C. During too time while the price has not overcome a boundary 126,50 there is a probability of realisation of the alternative scenario.

USD CAD

http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=18201&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1283441642 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=18201&d=1283441642)http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=18202&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1283441642 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=18202&d=1283441642)

The Canadian has completely justified expectations of August. It is not excluded, that the prospective wave [z] of B is finished. If it so it is possible to expect the beginning of new intermediate term falling of US dollar as an impulse or a Diagonal Triangle With of (B). At the same time, this assumption still demands the acknowledgement.

AUD USD

http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=18203&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1283441664 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=18203&d=1283441664)http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=18204&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1283441664 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=18204&d=1283441664)

While the price moves in an expected direction. Presumably, formation of a wave (2) of [C] has ended and formation of an impulse (3) of [C] has already begun. Probably, at present the correctional wave 2 of (3) of [C] is formed. If the assumption is true, in September it is possible to expect continuation of the begun descending trend.



Igor Pak.
Analyst of company Admiral Markets.
igor.pak@forextrade.ee

At any use of the analytical material taken from a site of company Admiral Markets, and the secondary publication on any other resources, the rights to intellectual property for a dealing centre «Admiral Markets», the reference to a company site is obligatory.

(http://forums.forextrade.ru/newattachment.php?do=manageattach&p=)

[igor pak]

The monthly wave analysis for October, 2010.


Currency pair USD/CHF

http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=18860&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1286119040 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=18860&d=1286119040)http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=18861&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1286119040 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=18861&d=1286119040)

While, the forecast made in the beginning of September, keeps the urgency. Presumably, construction of an impulse or a diagonal triangle (C) of proceeds. Probably, formation of a wave 1 of (C) at present comes to an end. If the assumption is true, after its end, it is logical to expect formation of correction 2 of (С), and accordingly US dollar growth.

[B]Currency pair EUR/USD

http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=18862&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1286119040 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=18862&d=1286119040)http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=18863&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1286119040 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=18863&d=1286119040)

While, the euro remains within the limits of the forecast, construction of an impulse or a diagonal triangle () of presumably proceeds. Probably, at the given stage are formed final waves of an impulse 1 of (), and already are become ripe by correction. If the assumption is true, in October it will be possible to expect strengthening of US dollar within the limits of formation of a correctional wave 2 of (C) of [b].

[B]Currency pair GBP/USD

http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=18864&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1286119072 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=18864&d=1286119072)http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=18865&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1286119072 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=18865&d=1286119072)

Presumably, the cable finishes formation of impulse A within the limits of zigzag formation (Y) of [X]. If the assumption is true, in October, it is logical to expect its end and the beginning of formation of correctional wave B of (Y).

Currency pair USD/JPY

http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=18866&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1286119072 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=18866&d=1286119072)http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=18867&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1286119072 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=18867&d=1286119072)

Presumably, in September, the yen has finished impulse formation () of [3] of v. If the assumption is true, in October it is possible to expect the beginning of growth of pair as wave formation (A) of [4].

Igor Pak.
Analyst of company Admiral Markets.
igor.pak@forextrade.ee

At any use of the analytical material taken from a site of company Admiral Markets, and the secondary publication on any other resources, the rights to intellectual property for ДЦ «Admiral Markets», the reference to a company site is obligatory.

[igor pak]

The monthly Wave Analysis for October, 2010, facultative pairs.



EUR JPY

http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=18906&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1286224712 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=18906&d=1286224712)http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=18907&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1286224712 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=18907&d=1286224712)

In the middle of September the counting of the senior levels has been changed. The assumption essence was reduced to that the large Zigzag (A) - (B) - (C) of is generated and the price has started formation of a long-term, ascending trend as an impulse or a diagonal trend [C] of x. Probably, within the limits of the made assumption the wave 1 of (1) of [C] is formed. If the assumption is true, in October, it is possible to expect falling of pair as formation of a correctional wave 2 of (1).

[B]EUR GBP

http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=18908&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1286224712 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=18908&d=1286224712)http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=18909&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1286224712 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=18909&d=1286224712)

Euro cable, as a whole, adheres to the forecast made in the beginning of September. Presumably, the impulse 3 of (5) develops. Probably, by the given moment its wave [iii] of 3 comes to the end. If the assumption is true, in October, it is possible to expect impulse or Diagonal Triangle formation [v] of 3 and the beginnings of decrease in pair in камках formation of a correctional wave 4 of (5).

EUR CHF

http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=18910&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1286224740 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=18910&d=1286224740)http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=18911&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1286224740 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=18911&d=1286224740)

It is possible to consider as a result of September the assumption, that the large Zigzag (A) - (B) - (C) of [Y] of y is finished. Therefore, it is not excluded, that ascending movement which has begun in the beginning of September is a wave of 1 large impulse (A) of X which approaches to end. If the assumption is true, in October, it is possible to expect decrease in pair within the limits of formation of a correctional wave 2 of (A).

GBP JPY

http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=18912&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1286224740 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=18912&d=1286224740)http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=18913&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1286224740 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=18913&d=1286224740)

Presumably, in the middle of September Zigzag A-B-C of (B) of [2] has come to the end. Probably, by the given moment the first wave 1 of (C) of [2] is already generated. If the assumption is true, after the termination of a wave 2 of (C) it is possible to expect growth of pair as formation of an impulse 3 of (C) of [2].

USD CAD

http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=18914&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1286224763 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=18914&d=1286224763)http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=18915&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1286224763 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=18915&d=1286224763)

The Canadian remains within the limits of the forecast made in the beginning of September. Presumably, correctional wave B of (B) which has become a Triple Three is generated. Probably, at the given stage, it is generated the first (is formed) ([i]) a wave of an impulse With of (B). If the assumption is true, after formation of a correctional wave [ii] of C, it is possible to expect impulse development [iii] of C of (B).

AUD USD

http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=18916&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1286224763 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=18916&d=1286224763)http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=18917&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1286224763 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=18917&d=1286224763)

To kind of overcoming of critical level of the considered scenario, the counting should be reconsidered, as it has been made in the middle of September. Within the limits of the presented scenario the wave (5) of [C] of b, presumably, is formed. Probably, it becomes a Diagonal Triangle at which, the impulse [c] a Zigzag 3 of (5) comes to an end. If the assumption is true, expectations of October will be end of a wave 3 of (A), and the beginning of considerable falling of pair as construction of a correctional wave 4 of (A).






Igor Pak.
Analyst of company Admiral Markets.
igor.pak@forextrade.ee

At any use of the analytical material taken from a site of company Admiral Markets, and the secondary publication on any other resources, the rights to intellectual property for ДЦ «Admiral Markets», the reference to a company site is obligatory.

[igor pak]

The monthly Wave Analysis for November, 2010.




Currency pair USD/CHF

http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=19322&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1288549836 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=19322&d=1288549836) http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=19323&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1288549836 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=19323&d=1288549836)

The basic expectation of November are terminations of impulse 1 of (C). If the assumption is true, after that it will be possible to expect intermediate term strengthening of US dollar, as formation of correctional wave 2 of (C) of . At the same time the alternative variant, but about it while to speak early isn't excluded also.

[B]Currency pair EUR/USD

http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=19324&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1288549836 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=19324&d=1288549836) http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=19325&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1288549836 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=19325&d=1288549836)

By analogy to the Swiss, in November, growth of euro, as formation of impulse or Diagonal Triangle (v) of [v] is expected, which should finish large wave of 1 impulse () of . If the assumption is true, after that it is possible to expect the beginning of intermediate term strengthening of US dollar (eur usd downward), as development of correctional wave 2 of (. At the same time it is impossible to forget and about alternative variant but while about it to speak early,
[B]
Currency pair GBP/USD

http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=19326&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1288549858 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=19326&d=1288549858) http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=19327&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1288549858 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=19327&d=1288549858)

On analogies to continental currency steams, cable finishes large ascending wave A, within the limits of formation of prospective Zigzag (Y) of [X]. If the assumption truly that in November it is necessary to expect growth of pair, as formation of impulse or Diagonal Triangle (v) of [v] of A, and then, approaches of US dollar, as development of large correction B of (Y).

Currency pair USD/JPY

http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=19328&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1288549858 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=19328&d=1288549858) http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=19329&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1288549858 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=19329&d=1288549858)

Contrary to expectations in October falling of pair proceeded. However, it didn't change expectations. Presumably, comes to an end Diagonal Triangle () of [3] then it will be possible to expect the beginning of intermediate term strengthening of US dollar as development of correctional wave [4] of v.



Igor Pak.
Analyst of company Admiral Markets.
igor.pak@forextrade.ee

At any use of the analytical material taken from site of company Admiral Markets, and the secondary publication on any other resources, the rights to intellectual property for dealing center «Admiral Markets», the reference to site of the company is obligatory.

[igor pak]

Facultative pairs. The monthly Wave Analysis for November, 2010.


EUR JPY

http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=19330&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1288550531 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=19330&d=1288550531) http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=19331&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1288550531 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=19331&d=1288550531)

Presumably, the price started formation of correctional wave 2 of (1). If the assumption is true, in November, it is necessary to expect decrease in pair in Corrective Style.

EUR GBP

http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=19332&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1288550531 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=19332&d=1288550531) http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=19333&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1288550531 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=19333&d=1288550531)

While the pair is in frameworks of the forecast. Presumably, formation of ascending impulse 3 of (5) proceeds. Probably, November will be devoted development of correctional wave [iv] of 3 after which end, the ascending trend proceeds, as impulse or Diagonal Triangle [v] of 3.

EUR CHF

http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=19334&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1288550557 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=19334&d=1288550557) http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=19335&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1288550557 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=19335&d=1288550557)

Presumably, the price started formation of impulse 3 of (A) or (1). If the assumption is true, in November, it is possible to expect continuation of growth of pair in Impulsive Style. At the same time, considering rather small depth of recoil of prospective wave 2 of (A) of (1) the alternative variant of succession of events isn't excluded. In such case November will be devoted formations of correctional wave 2 of (A) of (1), and according to falling of pair.

GBP JPY

http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=19336&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1288550557 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=19336&d=1288550557) http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=19337&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1288550557 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=19337&d=1288550557)

In October of steam broke conditional critical level that led to revision of details of the current scenario. Presumably, development of correctional wave (B) of [2] still proceeds, taking the form of Double Zigzag. If the assumption is true, in November it is necessary to expect falling of pair within the limits of terminations of Diagonal Triangle
[c] of Y of (B).

USD CAD

http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=19338&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1288550575 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=19338&d=1288550575) http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=19339&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1288550575 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=19339&d=1288550575)

The assumptions made in the beginning of October proved to be true. The Canadian started formation of correctional wave [ii] of C. Probably, she takes the form of simple Zigzag. If it so, in November it is possible to expect growth of pair as formation of impulse or Diagonal Triangle () of [ii].

AUD USD

http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=19340&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1288550575 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=19340&d=1288550575) http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=19341&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1288550575 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=19341&d=1288550575)

Presumably, development of impulse [c] of 3 proceeds. Probably, by the given moment it is generated correctional (iv) of [c] of 3. If the assumption is true, in November it is necessary to expect continuation of lifting of pair as impulse or Diagonal Triangle (v) of [c] of 3.



Igor Pak.
Analyst of company Admiral Markets.
igor.pak@forextrade.ee

At any use of the analytical material taken from site of company Admiral Markets, and the secondary publication on any other resources, the rights to intellectual property for dealing center «Admiral Markets», the reference to site of the company is obligatory.

[igor pak]

The monthly Wave Analysis for December, 2010.




Currency pair USD/CHF

http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=19775&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1291121927 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=19775&d=1291121927) http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=19776&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1291121927 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=19776&d=1291121927) http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=19777&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1291121927 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=19777&d=1291121927)

As a whole the idea of long-term movement while remains without changes. Presumably, development of impulse or Diagonal Triangle (С) large correctional wave of a proceeds. The price confirmed expectations of the beginning of November. Finishing wave 1 of (C) and starting formation of correctional wave 2 of (C). Probably, by the given moment the impulse [a] of 2 is practically generated. If the assumption is true, in December it is necessary to expect falling of US dollar, in Corrective Style, as formation of wave [b] of 2.

[B]Currency pair EUR/USD

http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=19778&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1291121927 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=19778&d=1291121927) http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=19779&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1291121927 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=19779&d=1291121927) http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=19780&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1291121959 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=19780&d=1291121959)

The November idea of development of long-term change ценны euro while keeps the urgency. Presumably, the price is occupied by construction of wave (С) large correction of a. Confirming expectations of the beginning of November, the price finished impulse 1 of (C) and started formation of correctional wave 2 of (C). Probably, it will be Zigzag in which frameworks the impulse [a] of 2 comes to an end. Therefore, if the assumption is true, in December it is necessary to expect growth of pair, as development of correctional wave [b] of 2 of (C).

[B]Currency pair GBP/USD

http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=19781&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1291121959 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=19781&d=1291121959) http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=19782&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1291121959 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=19782&d=1291121959)

Cable, in long-term prospect as well as continental steams adheres to the forecast. Presumably, within the limits of development of large wave [X] of y the wave (Y) of [X] is formed. The assumption made in the beginning of November, proved to be true. Presumably, complete impulse A of (Y) and the price started construction of correctional wave B of (Y). Probably, the wedge [a] of B now comes to the end. If it so in December it is possible to expect growth of pair as formation of correctional wave of B.

[B]Currency pair USD/JPY

http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=19783&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1291121959 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=19783&d=1291121959) http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=19784&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1291121959 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=19784&d=1291121959)

The yen confirmed expectations of November, finishing diagonal () waves [3], large Diagonal Triangle v of (a). If the assumption is true, formation of intermediate term growth of US dollar as development of large correctional wave [4] of v began. While it is difficult to speak about her future model. Probably, it will be simple Zigzag in which frameworks the impulse develops? (A) of [4]. It is not excluded, that actual market mood finishes formation his wave 1 of A. If the assumption is true, in December, it is possible to expect falling of pair, as development of correctional wave 2 of (A).



Igor Pak.
Analyst of company Admiral Markets.
igor.pak@forextrade.ee

At any use of the analytical material taken from site of company Admiral Markets, and the secondary publication on any other resources, the rights to intellectual property for dealing center «Admiral Markets», the reference to site of the company is obligatory.

[igor pak]

Facultative pairs. The forecast for December, 2010



EUR JPY

http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=19840&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1291367097 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=19840&d=1291367097) http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=19841&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1291367097 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=19841&d=1291367097)

In November of steam decreased according to expectations, developing correctional wave 2 of 1. Probably, by the given moment it is already complete. If the assumption is true, it is possible to expect growth of the price as formation of impulse 3 of (1). In case of confirmation of this idea, there will be possibilities for placing of intermediate term long positions, with good potential.

EUR GBP

http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=19842&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1291367097 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=19842&d=1291367097) http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=19843&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1291367097 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=19843&d=1291367097)

Assumed in the beginning of November pulse movement of the price didn't receive development, generating ascending Zigzag. In this connection in the middle of November the labeling of larger degrees has been reconsidered. Result on Figure. Presumably, the price continues development of large correctional wave (4) of [C]. Presumably, she becomes Triple Zigzag W-X-Y-X-Z of (4). Probably, the impulse [a] his last foot Z of (4) at present comes to the end. If the assumption is true, in December it is possible to expect growth of pair as formation of correctional wave of I of (4).

[B]EUR CHF

http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=19844&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1291367133 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=19844&d=1291367133) http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=19845&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1291367133 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=19845&d=1291367133)

In November the price preferred alternative variant, generating impulse 1 of (A) or (1) and forming correctional wave 2 of (A) of (1). Probably, by the given moment, it is already complete, in the form of Double Zigzag. If the assumption is true, in December, it is possible to expect growth of pair within the limits of formation of impulse 3 of (A) or (1). During too time while this idea isn't confirmed, probably, continuation of descending movement.

GBP JPY

http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=19846&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1291367133 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=19846&d=1291367133) http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=19847&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1291367133 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=19847&d=1291367133)

While expectations didn't change, development of Zigzag Y of (B) presumably proceeds. Presumably, at present, the price started his formation is final parts - impulse [c] of Y. If the assumption is true, after formation of correctional wave (ii) of [c], it is possible to expect falling of pair as impulse (iii) of [c].

USD CAD

http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=19848&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1291367147 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=19848&d=1291367147) http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=19849&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1291367147 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=19849&d=1291367147)

Price movement of the Canadian in November left for comprehensible frameworks of prospective wave division, in kind of that, the labeling of larger degree has been reconsidered. Her idea consists in continuation of development of correctional wave B of (B). In my opinion, now, this scenario will most be coordinated with price movement of the European currencies in relation to US dollar. Presumably, development of correctional wave B of (B) proceeds. Probably, she becomes Expanded Flat correction in which frameworks, the Double Zigzag of B is formed. If the assumption is true, in December it is possible to expect falling of US dollar, as wave y of (y) of [b].

[B]AUD USD

http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=19850&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1291367160 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=19850&d=1291367160) http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=19851&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1291367160 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=19851&d=1291367160)

November expectations were justified, presumably the price started formation of correctional wave 4. Probably, she takes characteristic Diagonal Triangles the form of simple Zigzag. In which frameworks development of impulse [a] of 4 comes to an end. If the assumption is true, in December it is possible to expect growth of pair in Corrective Style, as development of wave of 4.


[B]Igor Pak.
Analyst of company Admiral Markets.
igor.pak@forextrade.ee

At any use of the analytical material taken from site of company Admiral Markets, and the secondary publication on any other resources, the rights to intellectual property for dealing center «Admiral Markets», the reference to site of the company is obligatory.

[igor pak]

The monthly Wave Analysis for January, 2011.




Currency pair USD/CHF

http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20182&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1293727823 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20182&d=1293727823) http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20183&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1293727823 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20183&d=1293727823)

As a whole, idea of development of situation on larger degrees while remains former. Presumably, the price is occupied by formation of correctional wave of an of (b). Proceeding from the relative sizes of the generated waves, the assumption of her formation in the form of double, threefold (Zigzag) looks optimal. Probably, at present, Expanded Flat B of (Z) in which frameworks, the correctional wave [b] of B comes to an end is formed. Therefore, if the assumption is true, in January, it is possible to expect terminations of wave [b] of B and the beginnings of growth of US dollar as impulse or Diagonal Triangle [c] of B.

[B]Currency pair EUR/USD

http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20184&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1293727823 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20184&d=1293727823) http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20185&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1293727823 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20185&d=1293727823)

As a whole, idea of development of euro on larger degrees while remains without changes. Presumably, the price is occupied by formation of correctional wave of an of (b). At the same time, proceeding from the sizes of the generated waves, the assumption of formation of wave [b] of an in the form of double (threefold) three looks optimal. Probably, at present, the price is occupied by formation зигзга B of (Y) of [b] in which frameworks, the correctional wave [b] of B develops. If the assumption is true, in January, it is possible to expect her end and the beginning of strengthening of US dollar (eur usd downward) as impulse or Diagonal Triangle [c] of B.

[B]Currency pair GBP/USD

http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20186&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1293727878 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20186&d=1293727878) http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20187&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1293727878 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20187&d=1293727878)

While long-term expectations remain without changes. Presumably, the cable is occupied by formation of Zigzag A-B-C of (Y) of [X]. Probably, development of correctional wave of B in which frameworks, by the present moment it was generated flounce (b) of [b] of B at present proceeds. If the assumption is true, in January it is necessary to expect end of wave [b] of B and the beginnings of strengthening of US dollar as impulse or Diagonal Triangle [c] of B.

[B]Currency pair USD/JPY

http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20188&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1293727878 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20188&d=1293727878)

Expectations of falling of pair in December proved to be true. Probably, formation of correctional wave 2 of (A) comes to an end. If the assumption is true, January it is possible to expect growth of US dollar as impulse 3 of (A).




Igor Pak.
Analyst of company Admiral Markets.
igor.pak@forextrade.ee

At any use of the analytical material taken from site of company Admiral Markets, and the secondary publication on any other resources, the rights to intellectual property for dealing center «Admiral Markets», the reference to site of the company is obligatory.

[igor pak]

Facultative pairs, the forecast for January, 2011.



EUR JPY

http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20204&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1293997789 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20204&d=1293997789) http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20205&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1293997789 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20205&d=1293997789)

In the end of December, 2010 the scenario of intermediate term development has been reconsidered, and while his idea remains actual. Presumably, the price started development of impulse or Diagonal Triangle 5 of (C) of . If it so in January it is possible to expect continuation of falling of pair.

[B]EUR GBP

http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20206&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1293997789 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20206&d=1293997789) http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20207&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1293997789 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20207&d=1293997789)

While, reconsidered in the middle of December of last year the scenario, proves to be true the price. Presumably, the final phase of Triple Zigzag W-X-Y-X-Z, Z (4) of [C] is formed. Probably, by the given moment, the wave [x] of Z is generated. If this assumption receives confirmation in January it will be possible to expect the beginning of intermediate term falling of pair, as formation of Zigzag [y] of Z of (4).

EUR CHF

http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20208&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1293997813 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20208&d=1293997813) http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20209&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1293997813 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20209&d=1293997813)

The price broke critical level of the considered scenario, that certainly forces it to reconsider. The basic idea of the updated variant, this continuation of formation of impulse (С) of [Y] of y. Probably, within the limits of his development, the price started construction of correctional wave [iv] of 5. If the assumption is true, after her end, it is possible to expect continuation of decrease in pair as impulse or Diagonal Triangle [v] of 5.

GBP JPY

http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20210&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1293997813 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20210&d=1293997813) http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20211&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1293997813 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20211&d=1293997813)

While, the price adheres to the forecast which has been published in the beginning of December of last year. Presumably, formation of impulse [c] Zigzag Y of (B) proceeds. Probably, at present, the price finishes development of impulse (iii) of [c]. If the assumption is true, in January it is necessary to expect formation of correctional wave (iv) of [c] and continuations of falling of pair as impulse or Diagonal Triangle (v) of [c] of Y of (B).

USD CAD

http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20212&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1293997832 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20212&d=1293997832) http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20213&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1293997832 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20213&d=1293997832)

While the pair moves within the limits of the scenario 2W. Presumably, development of Zigzag y of (y) of comes to an end. If the assumption is true, January can become the beginning of intermediate term strengthening of US dollar as development of impulse or Diagonal Triangle [c] of B.

[B]AUD USD

http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20214&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1293997832 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20214&d=1293997832) http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20215&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1293997832 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20215&d=1293997832)

In December of steam grew according to expectations, however overcoming by critical level forces to reconsider intermediate term expectations. One of possible variants is presented on Figure. Probably, the price is occupied by end of impulse [v] of 3 of (5) of [C]. If the assumption is true, in January it is necessary to expect his end, and the beginning of strengthening of US dollar as development of correctional wave 4 of (5) of [C].

Igor Pak.
Analyst of company Admiral Markets.
igor.pak@forextrade.ee

At any use of the analytical material taken from site of company Admiral Markets, and the secondary publication on any other resources, the rights to intellectual property for dealing center «Admiral Markets», the reference to site of the company is obligatory.

[igor pak]

The monthly Wave Analysis for February, 2011.


1. Currency pair USD/CHF.

http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20484&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1296592533 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20484&d=1296592533) http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20485&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1296592533 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20485&d=1296592533)

Within the limits of the basic scenario which is considered long enough time development of the wave (Y) the double (threefold) Zigzag of a of (b), presumably, proceeds. Possibly, it becomes simple Zigzag A-B-C of (Y). Actual market mood, the question concerning end of correctional wave B of (Y) is key. In my opinion, it isn't finished yet and will continue formation, becoming the Expanded Flat or other corrective pattern, for example the Double Three. Probably, development of its wave [b] of B at present comes to an end. If the assumption is true, in February it is necessary to expect growth of US dollar within the limits of formation of the impulse or the Diagonal Triangle [c] of B.
At the same time, in the developing situation, it not the unique probable variant. Probably, wave B of (Y) the complet earlier (see alternative). In such case decrease in pair will proceed as continuation of development of the wave With of (Y) but while, this scenario is on the second plan.

[B]2. Currency pair EUR/USD.

http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20486&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1296592533 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20486&d=1296592533) http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20487&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1296592533 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20487&d=1296592533)

While the euro remains within the limits of the forecast. Presumably, within the limits of formation of the Zigzag (Y) of , the price is occupied by development of wave B of (Y). Probably, it becomes the Double Zigzag [w] - [x] - [y] at which the impulse (c) of [x] comes to the end. If the assumption is true, in February it is necessary to expect growth of US dollar as the complete set of the wave [y] of B. At the same time, the assumption that wave B of (Y) was already generated is actual (see alternative) and already the impulse or the Diagonal Triangle With of (Y) of [b] develops. However while, this variant is on the second plan.
[B]
3. Currency pair GBP/USD.

http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20488&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1296592562 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20488&d=1296592562) http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20489&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1296592562 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20489&d=1296592562)

Presumably, development of the impulse (c) the Expanded Flat of B, the Zigzag (Y) of [X] comes to the end. If the assumption is true, in February it is necessary to expect falling of cable, as formation of the impulse or the Diagonal Triangle [c] of B. However it is visible, that the price steals up to critical level for the given scenario that gives the importance to the alternative scenario. But while critical level isn't overcome, there is the sense to adhere to the basic variant.

[B]4. Currency pair USD/JPY.

http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20490&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1296592562 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20490&d=1296592562) http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20491&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1296592562 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20491&d=1296592562)

Presumably, formation of the impulse 3 of (A) in which frameworks has begun the correctional wave [ii] of 3 comes to the end. If the assumption is true, after its terminations it is possible to expect growth of pair as the impulse [iii] of 3. At the same time, the price doesn't hurry up upwards, that forces to hold near at hand the spare variant (see alternative).

Igor Pak.
Analyst of company Admiral Markets.
igor.pak@forextrade.ee

At any use of the analytical material taken from the site of company Admiral Markets, and the secondary publication on any other resources, the rights to intellectual property for the dealing centre «Admiral Markets», the reference to the site of the company is obligatory.

[igor pak]

Facultative rates. The forecast for February, 2011.

EUR JPY

http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20505&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1296672454 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20505&d=1296672454) http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20506&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1296672454 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20506&d=1296672454)

Unfortunately, assumed in the beginning of January pulse movement hasn't received development. This fact has forced to reconsider the labelling of larger degrees. As a whole the essence remained former, but details have changed. Presumably the price continues to form the correctional wave 4 impulses (С) of . Probably, it becomes the Zigzag in which frameworks, the impulse [c] of 4 at present develops. If the assumption is true, within the limits of the updated scenario, in February it is possible to expect decrease in pair as development of the correctional wave (ii) of [c], and then, after its terminations, renewal of growth as the wave (iii) of [c] of 4.
[B]
EUR GBP

http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20507&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1296672454 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20507&d=1296672454) http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20508&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1296672454 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20508&d=1296672454)

As a whole, intermediate term expectations haven't changed. Presumably, the price is occupied by development of Zigzag Z of (4), in which frameworks at present, comes to the end (isn't excluded that) the wave [x] of Z already has come to the end. If the assumption is true, in February, it is necessary to expect confirmation on terminations of the wave (y) of [x], and the beginnings of decrease in pair as development of the Zigzag [y] of Z of (4).

EUR CHF

http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20509&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1296672475 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20509&d=1296672475) http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20510&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1296672475 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20510&d=1296672475)

Events of last days January, specify that ascending movement which has begun in the beginning of January, most likely, will be the impulse in this connection the labelling of larger degrees gets other colouring. It is not excluded, what actual market mood, the impulse () of [Y] of y the complete, and is already formed the first waves of the impulse? (A) of (1) of [A]. If the assumption is true, in February it is necessary to expect growth of pair as terminations of the wave 1 of (A) or (1), and the beginnings of formation of the correctional wave 2 of (A) of (1).

GBP JPY

http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20511&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1296672475 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20511&d=1296672475) http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20512&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1296672475 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20512&d=1296672475)

Assumed in the beginning of January pulse movement hasn't received development, and opposite, has generated correctional structure - the Zigzag a-b-c which keeps within the wave (d) the Skewed Triangle of X of (B). Therefore, probably, its final wave (e) of [b] now develops. If the assumption is true, in February, it is possible to expect growth of pair, as the impulse or the Diagonal Triangle with of (e) of [b] and начла formation of the impulse or the Diagonal Triangle [c] of Y of (B).
[B]
USD CAD

http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20513&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1296672503 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20513&d=1296672503) http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20514&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1296672503 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20514&d=1296672503)

While expectations haven't changed. Presumably, formation of the Zigzag (y) of comes to the end. It is not excluded, that for this purpose, the price needed to finish the impulse [C] of y of (y) of [b]. If the assumption is true, within the limits of its complete set, it is possible to expect short reduction of price then, the pair will be developed upwards, as the beginning of development of the first waves of the impulse or the Diagonal Triangle [c] of B

[B]AUD USD

http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20515&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1296672503 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20515&d=1296672503) http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20516&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1296672503 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20516&d=1296672503)

Presumably the Australian has started development of the correctional wave 4 of (5) or its first part. Anyhow, presumably, at present завешается correctional the flounce of 4. If the assumption is true, after its end it is possible to expect falling of the price as the impulse or the Diagonal Triangle [c] of 4.


[B]Igor Pak.
Analyst of company Admiral Markets.
igor.pak@forextrade.ee

At any use of the analytical material taken from the site of company Admiral Markets, and the secondary publication on any other resources, the rights to intellectual property for the dealing centre «Admiral Markets», the reference to the site of the company is obligatory.

[igor pak]

The monthly Wave Analysis for March, 2011.


1. Currency pair USD/CHF.

http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20729&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1298804136 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20729&d=1298804136) http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20730&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1298804136 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20730&d=1298804136)

February events speak well for the alternative variant of development of the situation. Presumably, within the limits of formation of the wave With of (Y), the price has started development of the impulse? [iii] of C. If the assumption is true, in March, as its complete set, it is possible to expect continuation of falling of the price. More detailed analysis of this process will be, as is usually is reflected in section of the daily Wave Analysis.

2. Currency pair EUR/USD.

http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20731&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1298804136 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20731&d=1298804136) http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20732&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1298804136 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20732&d=1298804136)

By analogy to the Swiss, the European currency as has started development of the impulse or the Diagonal Triangle With of (Y) of . It is not excluded, that by the present moment the wave [ii] of C is generated. If the assumption is true, in March it is possible to expect growth of the price as development of the impulse [iii] of C. At the same time, while there is the probability of continuation of development of the correctional wave [ii] of C.

[B]3. Currency pair GBP/USD.

http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20733&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1298804153 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20733&d=1298804153) http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20734&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1298804153 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20734&d=1298804153)

Presumably, the cable by analogy to continental currencies, has finished formation of correctional wave B of (Y), and, has already started development of the impulse or the Diagonal Triangle With of (Y) of [X]. Probably, the correctional wave [ii] of C is at the moment formed. If the assumption is true, in March it is necessary to expect its terminations and continuation of growth of the price as the impulse [iii] of C.

4. Currency pair USD/JPY.

http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20735&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1298804153 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20735&d=1298804153) http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20736&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1298804153 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20736&d=1298804153)

Presumably, the price moves within the limits of alternative which has been considered in the beginning of February. The impulse (c) of [3] is formed. Probably, now the complet its wave 4 of (C) which has become the Double Three. If the assumption is true, in March, it is possible to expect falling of pair as the impulse or the Diagonal Triangle 5 of (C) of [3]. At the same time, while there is the probability of continuation of development of the correctional wave 4 of (C), for example, as the Triple Three.

Igor Pak.
Analyst of company Admiral Markets.
igor.pak@forextrade.ee

At any use of the analytical material taken from the site of company Admiral Markets, and the secondary publication on any other resources, the rights to intellectual property for the dealing centre «Admiral Markets», the reference to the site of the company is obligatory.

[igor pak]

The monthly Wave Analysis for March, 2011. Facultative rates.

EUR JPY

http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20737&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1298804578 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20737&d=1298804578) http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20738&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1298804578 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20738&d=1298804578)

Presumably, the price in the course of formation of the correctional wave 4 of (C). Within the limits of its formation the idea of its development in the form of the Double Three, probably optimum looks, in March the price will decrease as the wave (b) of [y] of 4. And after its terminations it is possible to expect growth as the impulse or the Diagonal Triangle (c) of [y] of 4.

EUR GBP

http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20739&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1298804578 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20739&d=1298804578) http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20740&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1298804578 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20740&d=1298804578)

Presumably, the correctional wave (b) the Zigzag [y] of Z of 4 is formed. If the assumption is true, in March it is possible to expect its terminations and falling of pair within the limits of development of the impulse or the Diagonal Triangle (c) of [y]. At the same time, the given assumption can be taken only conditionally as can quite be so, that now development of the Corrective Combination [x] of Z still proceeds. Nevertheless, in both cases, in March it is possible to expect reduction of price.

EUR CHF

http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20741&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1298804600 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20741&d=1298804600) http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20742&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1298804600 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20742&d=1298804600)

Presumably, the price is occupied by formation of the correctional wave 2 that corresponds to the forecast made in the beginning of February. Probably, it will be the simple Zigzag in which frameworks the impulse [a] of 2 now develops. If the assumption is true, in March it is necessary to expect continuation of falling of the price within the limits of terminations of the impulse [a] of 2 and developments of the correctional wave of 2.

[B]GBP JPY

http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20743&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1298804600 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20743&d=1298804600) http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20744&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1298804600 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20744&d=1298804600)

The Triple Three of Y is presumably finished. Probably, the price has already started formation of the first waves of the impulse or the Diagonal Triangle [c] of Y of (B). If the assumption is true, in March it is possible to expect decrease in pair within the limits of its complete set.

[B]USD CAD

http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20745&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1298804622 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20745&d=1298804622) http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20746&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1298804622 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20746&d=1298804622)

Presumably, the Canadian is occupied by formation of end of the correctional wave of B, namely end of the Diagonal Triangle [C] of y of (y) of [b]. If the assumption is true, in March within the limits of its terminations it is possible to expect continuation of falling of the price then strengthening of US dollar as formation of the impulse, logically, should begin? [c] of B. At the same time, considering the spirit European currencies in relation to US dollar it is quite probable, that wave B of (B) has been generated earlier (see alternative). In such case falling of pair will be more considerable. The detailed End of Day Services of smaller degrees will help will be defined with the dominating scenario.
[B]
AUD USD

http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20747&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1298804622 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20747&d=1298804622) http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20748&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1298804622 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20748&d=1298804622)

In February on the basis of behaviour of pair on smaller degrees the intermediate term scenario has been reconsidered. On the Figure the updated variant is presented. Probably, by the present moment of complets the horizontal Triangle [iv] of 3. If the assumption is true, it is possible to expect growth of pair within the limits of formation of the impulse or the Diagonal Triangle [v] of 3 but while this assumption still demands confirmation.


Igor Pak.
Analyst of company Admiral Markets.
igor.pak@forextrade.ee

At any use of the analytical material taken from the site of company Admiral Markets, and the secondary publication on any other resources, the rights to intellectual property for the dealing centre «Admiral Markets», the reference to the site of the company is obligatory.

[igor pak]

The monthly Wave Analysis for April, 2011.

In March the dollar moved in the expected direction. At the same time, at the moment, there was the necessity for revision of accents of the further succession of events.


1. Currency pair USD/CHF.

http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20978&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1301264231 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20978&d=1301264231) http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20979&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1301264231 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20979&d=1301264231) http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20980&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1301264231 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20980&d=1301264231)

The essence of the presented scenario that the wave z of (a) still continues formation, and is occupied now by development of the large correctional wave of z. Probably, it will be the Skewed Triangle at which the wave (D) of [B] comes to the end. It is not excluded, that the wave (D) of [B] becomes simple Zigzag A-B-C, and the Diagonal Triangle With of (D) now is formed. Tаким in the image if the assumption is true in April can be expected growth of US dollar as formation of the correctional wave iv of C of (D).
[B]
2. Currency pair EUR/USD.

http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20981&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1301264231 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20981&d=1301264231) http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20982&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1301264231 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20982&d=1301264231) http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20983&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1301264252 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20983&d=1301264252)

Changes in the labelling of euro are similar to the Swiss. Presumably, the wave z of (a) still continues formation in which frameworks the large wave of z develops. Bвозможно, it will be Corrective Horizontal Combination - (W) - (X) - (Y) - (X) - (Z), and its wave (X) of [B], now, comes to the end. It is not excluded, that the wave (X) of [B] becomes the simple Zigzag at which, the wave With of (X) is formed. If the assumption is true, in April it is possible to expect falling of pair as formation of correction [iv] of C.
[B]
3. Currency pair GBP/USD.

http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20984&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1301264252 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20984&d=1301264252) http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20985&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1301264252 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20985&d=1301264252)

Presumably, the complete the impulse [iii] of C of (Y). If the assumption is true, in April it is necessary to expect falling of the price in Corrective Style within the limits of formation of the wave [iv] of C of Y.

4. Currency pair USD/JPY.

http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20986&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1301264252 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20986&d=1301264252) http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20987&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1301264252 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=20987&d=1301264252)

Presumably, the price has started formation of the wave 5 of (C) of [3]. Probably, it will be the Diagonal Triangle in which frameworks comes to the end correctional the flounce [ii] of 5. If the assumption is true, in April decrease in pair will proceed as the wave [iii] of 5.



Igor Pak.
Analyst of company Admiral Markets.
igor.pak@forextrade.ee

At any use of the analytical material taken from the site of company Admiral Markets, and the secondary publication on any other resources, the rights to intellectual property for the dealing centre «Admiral Markets», the reference to the site of the company is obligatory.

[igor pak]

The monthly Wave Analysis for May, 2011.


1. Currency pair USD/CHF.

http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=21245&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1304249714 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=21245&d=1304249714) http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=21246&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1304249714 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=21246&d=1304249714) http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=21247&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1304249714 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=21247&d=1304249714)

While the price is in frameworks of the considered scenario. Presumably, wave C of the Zigzag (D) the Skewed Triangle of z is formed. Probably, it becomes the Diagonal Triangle at which the wave [iii] of C comes to the end. If the assumption is true, in May it is possible to expect its terminations and the beginning of ascending movement within the limits of development of the correctional wave [iv] of C.

[B]2. Currency pair EUR/USD.

http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=21248&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1304249726 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=21248&d=1304249726) http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=21249&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1304249726 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=21249&d=1304249726) http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=21250&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1304249726 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=21250&d=1304249726)

While the price is in frameworks of the considered scenario. Presumably, the wave From the Zigzag (X) of of z is formed. Probably, it becomes the impulse at which the wave [iii] of C comes to the end. If the assumption is true, in May it is possible to expect its end of the beginning of descending movement within the limits of construction of the correctional wave [iv] of C.

[B]3. Currency pair GBP/USD.

http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=21251&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1304249748 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=21251&d=1304249748) http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=21252&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1304249748 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=21252&d=1304249748)

In April the labelling of the larger degree has been optimised, but the essence of the plan remains former. The wave With of (Y) presumably develops. It can take the form of the impulse or the Diagonal Triangle. Probably, now the wave [iii] of C in which frameworks the wave (i) of [iii] comes to the end is formed. If the assumption is true, in May it is possible to expect its end and the beginning of descending movement as development of the correctional wave (ii) of [iii] of C.

4. Currency pair USD/JPY.

http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=21253&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1304249748 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=21253&d=1304249748) http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=21254&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1304249748 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=21254&d=1304249748) http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=21255&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1304249748 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=21255&d=1304249748)

In April the labelling of larger degrees of yen has been reconsidered. Results have been shined in section of the daily Wave Analysis. Presumably, formation of the impulse v of (a) is finished. If the assumption is true, building of the first waves of the ascending wave an of (b) has already begun. Probably, now the correctional wave (2) of [1] of a which can become the simple Zigzag is formed. If the assumption is true, in May it is possible to expect growth of the price as formation of its correctional wave B of (2).

Igor Pak.
Analyst of company Admiral Markets.
igor.pak@forextrade.ee

At any use of the analytical material taken from the site of company Admiral Markets, and the secondary publication on any other resources, the rights to intellectual property for the dealing centre «Admiral Markets», the reference to the site of the company is obligatory.

[igor pak]

The monthly Wave Analysis for June, 2011.


In the middle of May intermediate term expectations on basic currency steams have been reconsidered and published in section of the daily Wave Analysis. (The report on May, 16th) see. While the alternative variant remains actual and consequently there is the sense to make a start from it in the forecast not June.

1. Currency pair USD/CHF.

http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=21569&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1306865636 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=21569&d=1306865636) http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=21570&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1306865636 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=21570&d=1306865636)

Presumably, the wave (D) the Skewed Triangle of z now comes to the end. If the assumption is true, in June it is possible to expect its end and the beginning of formation of ascending wave A of (E) of [B].

[B]2. Currency pair EUR/USD.

http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=21571&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1306865636 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=21571&d=1306865636) http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=21572&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1306865636 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=21572&d=1306865636)

Presumably, the wave (Z) the Triple Zigzag of z is formed. Probably, the correctional wave [ii] of A of (Z) now comes to the end. If the assumption is true, in June it is necessary to expect its terminations and development of the descending impulse [iii] of A.

[B]3. Currency pair GBP/USD.

http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=21573&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1306865654 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=21573&d=1306865654) http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=21574&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1306865654 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=21574&d=1306865654)

Formation of wave A of (X) of [X] has presumably begun. It is not excluded, that it will be the impulse in which frameworks the wave [ii] of A comes to the end. If the assumption is true, in June it is possible to expect its terminations and the beginning of formation of the descending impulse [iii] of A.

4. Currency pair USD/JPY.

http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=21575&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1306865654 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=21575&d=1306865654) http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=21576&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1306865654 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=21576&d=1306865654)

It is not excluded, that by the present moment the correctional wave 2 of (3) is generated.
If the assumption is true, in June it is possible to expect growth of the price within the limits of formation of the impulse 3 of (3). At the same time, this idea still demands the confirmation.

Igor Pak.
Analyst of company Admiral Markets.
igor.pak@forextrade.ee

At any use of the analytical material taken from the site of company Admiral Markets, and the secondary publication on any other resources, the rights to intellectual property for the dealing centre «Admiral Markets», the reference to the site of the company is obligatory.

[igor pak]

The monthly Wave Analysis for July, 2011.


1. Currency pair USD/CHF.

http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=21860&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1309722250 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=21860&d=1309722250) http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=21861&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1309722250 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=21861&d=1309722250) http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=21862&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1309722250 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=21862&d=1309722250)

In June the price has continued falling, not indicatinging signs of the expected turn. In the given situation there is the sense to reconsider the labelling of larger degrees. One of possible variants on the Figure.
Presumably, the impulse [C] of z of (a) at which, within the limits of the presented complete set, the impulse 3 of [C] develops is formed. If the assumption is true, now the price has started construction of the correctional wave [iv] of 3 after which terminations it is possible to expect continuation of falling of US dollar as the impulse or the Diagonal Triangle [v] of 3.


2. Currency pair EUR/USD.

http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=21863&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1309722250 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=21863&d=1309722250) http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=21864&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1309722250 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=21864&d=1309722250) http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=21865&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1309722270 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=21865&d=1309722270)

In the beginning of June the price has moved in the expected direction, however movement hasn't received development. This information gives certain weight to idea of continuation of falling of US dollar, (eur usd upwards) which is presented on the Figure.
Presumably, on larger degrees the wave [C] of z of (a) is formed. Probably, it becomes the impulse in which frameworks the impulse 3 of [C] now develops. If the assumption is true, now the price is occupied by development of the correctional wave [iv] of [3], and after its terminations, it is possible to expect one more thrust of the price upwards as the impulse or the Diagonal Triangle [v] of 3.
At the same time the alternative variant which was considered in June as while remains actual.

3. Currency pair GBP/USD.

http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=21866&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1309722270 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=21866&d=1309722270) http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=21867&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1309722270 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=21867&d=1309722270)

In June the price moved in the expected direction, however in the end of the month movement began to get correctional character. This information is soil for revision of the labelling of larger degrees. One of possible variants is presented on the Figure. The basic idea remains without changes. Presumably, the Zigzag (Y) of [X] in which frameworks, now the price is occupied by development of correctional wave B of (Y) is formed. Probably, it becomes the Skewed Triangle at which complete the wave [c] of B. If the assumption is true, in July it is possible to expect growth of the price as the wave [d] of B of (Y).

4. Currency pair USD/JPY.

http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=21868&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1309722270 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=21868&d=1309722270) http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=21869&stc=1&thumb=1&d=1309722270 (http://forums.forextrade.ru/attachment.php?attachmentid=21869&d=1309722270)

Presumably, formation of the correctional wave (2) of [1] of a proceeds. Probably, it becomes the Zigzag at which wave B of (2) is formed. If the assumption is true, in July it is necessary to expect its end and development of the descending impulse or the Diagonal Triangle With of (2).

Igor Pak.
Analyst of company Admiral Markets.
igor.pak@forextrade.ee

At any use of the analytical material taken from the site of company Admiral Markets, and the secondary publication on any other resources, the rights to intellectual property for the dealing centre «Admiral Markets», the reference to the site of the company is obligatory.

[igor pak]

The monthly Wave Analysis for August, 2011.


1. Currency pair USD/CHF.

http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=22115&d=1312121982&thumb=1 (http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=22115&d=1312121982)http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=22116&d=1312121982&thumb=1 (http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=22116&d=1312121982)

While the pair moves within the limits of the forecast. The impulse [5] of 3 is presumably formed. If the assumption is true, within the limits of its development it is possible to expect continuation of falling of the price.

2. Currency pair EUR/USD.

http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=22117&d=1312121998&thumb=1 (http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=22117&d=1312121998)http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=22118&d=1312121999&thumb=1 (http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=22118&d=1312121999)

In July of steam moved according to expectations. Presumably, the correctional wave [iv] of 3 which has become the Triple Three has come to the end. If the assumption is true, building of the impulse or the Diagonal Triangle [v] of 3 has already begun. Therefore, within the limits of its formation in August it is possible to expect continuation of growth of the euro which details will be reflected in section of the daily Wave Analysis.

3. Currency pair GBP/USD.

http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=22119&d=1312122023&thumb=1 (http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=22119&d=1312122023)http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=22120&d=1312122023&thumb=1 (http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=22120&d=1312122023)

While intermediate term expectations haven't changed. Presumably, now the impulse (a) the Zigzag [d] of B is formed. If the assumption is true, in August, within the limits of its development it is possible to expect continuation of growth of the price.

4. Currency pair USD/JPY.

http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=22121&d=1312122044&thumb=1 (http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=22121&d=1312122044)http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=22122&d=1312122045&thumb=1 (http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=22122&d=1312122045)

The yen moved in July in the expected direction. However approach of the price to critical level gives sense to revision of the labelling. One of possible variants on the Figure. Probably, formation of the wave [5] of [v] still proceeds and now the price has started development of its finishing stage to the impulse or the Diagonal Triangle (5) of [5]. If the assumption is true, within the limits of its development it is possible to expect continuation of falling of the price.

Igor Pak.
Analyst of company Admiral Markets.
igor.pak@forextrade.ee

At any use of the analytical material taken from the site of company Admiral Markets, and the secondary publication on any other resources, the rights to intellectual property for the dealing centre «Admiral Markets», the reference to the site of the company is obligatory.

[igor pak]

The monthly Wave Analysis for September, 2011.


1. Currency pair USD/CHF.

http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=22427&d=1315145431&thumb=1 (http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=22427&d=1315145431)http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=22426&d=1315145431&thumb=1 (http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=22426&d=1315145431)

Presumably, by the present moment the prospective impulse of 3 completes and the price has started formation of the correctional wave 4 of (1). Probably, it will become the Zigzag [a] - - [c] of 4. If the assumption is true, in September it is possible to expect end of its wave [b] and developments of the ascending impulse or the Diagonal Triangle [c] of 4.

[B]2. Currency pair EUR/USD.

http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=22429&d=1315145447&thumb=1 (http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=22429&d=1315145447)http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=22428&d=1315145446&thumb=1 (http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=22428&d=1315145446)

Continuation of formation of correctional structure, can speak about formation of correction of higher level. For example, waves 4 wedges (1) of [C]. It can take the form of the Double Three in which frameworks, the wave [x] of 4 is probably finished. If the assumption is true, now it is possible to expect continuation of reduction of price within the limits of development of the Zigzag? (a) - (b) - (c) of y of 4.

3. Currency pair GBP/USD.

http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=22431&d=1315145461&thumb=1 (http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=22431&d=1315145461)http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=22430&d=1315145460&thumb=1 (http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=22430&d=1315145460)

While the pair adheres to the forecast. Presumably, by the present moment the wave (a) of [d] which has become the wedge is generated and, development of the correctional wave (b) of [d] now has begun. Probably, it will become the double (threefold) Zigzag in which frameworks the wave w of (b) comes to the end. If assumptions are true, in September it is possible to expect development of the wave of the sheaf x of (b) after which terminations falling of the price will proceed as the Zigzag y of (b).

4. Currency pair USD/JPY.

http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=22433&d=1315145475&thumb=1 (http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=22433&d=1315145475)http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=22432&d=1315145474&thumb=1 (http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=22432&d=1315145474)

Presumably, now the correctional wave of 5 is formed. If the assumption is true, after its end it is possible to expect reduction of price as the impulse or the Diagonal Triangle 5 of (5)

[B]Igor Pak.
Analyst of company Admiral Markets.
igor.pak@forextrade.ee

At any use of the analytical material taken from the site of company Admiral Markets, and the secondary publication on any other resources, the rights to intellectual property for the dealing centre «Admiral Markets», the reference to the site of the company is obligatory.

[igor pak]

The monthly Wave Analysis for October, 2011.


1. Currency pair USD/CHF.

http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=22674&d=1317372067&thumb=1 (http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=22674&d=1317372067)http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=22673&d=1317372067&thumb=1 (http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=22673&d=1317372067)

In September the price moved within the limits of expectations. Probably, by the present moment the prospective impulse [c] of 4 completes. If the assumption is true, in October it is logical to expect falling of US dollar as development of the impulse or the Diagonal Triangle 5 of (1).

2. Currency pair EUR/USD.

http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=22676&d=1317372086&thumb=1 (http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=22676&d=1317372086)http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=22675&d=1317372086&thumb=1 (http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=22675&d=1317372086)http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=22677&d=1317372087&thumb=1 (http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=22677&d=1317372087)

While the price moves within the limits of the forecast. Presumably now comes to the end or the correctional wave 4 of (1) of [C] is already finished. If the assumption is true, in October it is possible to expect growth of the price as development of the impulse or the Diagonal Triangle 5 of (1). At the same time, it is necessary to consider possibility of realisation of the alternative variant which was considered earlier as the basic. Probably, the wave of z becomes the Triple Zigzag in which frameworks the descending Zigzag (Z) of [B] develops.

[B]3. Currency pair GBP/USD.

http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=22679&d=1317372124&thumb=1 (http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=22679&d=1317372124)http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=22678&d=1317372123&thumb=1 (http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=22678&d=1317372123)

In September the price fell according to expectations. However falling has broken geometry of prospective Skewed Triangle B of (Y). Probably, wave B of (Y) becomes the Double Three, which complete by the present moment. If the assumption is true, in October it is possible to expect growth of the price as development of the first waves of the impulse or the Diagonal Triangle With of (Y).

4. Currency pair USD/JPY.

http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=22681&d=1317372143&thumb=1 (http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=22681&d=1317372143)http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=22680&d=1317372142&thumb=1 (http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=22680&d=1317372142)

Presumably, the wave 5 Diagonal Triangles (5) of [5] of v is formed. If the assumption, truly in October it is possible to expect falling of the price as end of the wave [c] of 5 of (5).

Igor Pak.
Analyst of company Admiral Markets.
igor.pak@forextrade.ee

At any use of the analytical material taken from the site of company Admiral Markets, and the secondary publication on any other resources, the rights to intellectual property for the dealing centre «Admiral Markets», the reference to the site of the company is obligatory.

[igor pak]

The monthly Wave Analysis for November, 2011 + facultative pairs.


1. Currency pair USD/CHF.

http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=22865&d=1319805067&thumb=1 (http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=22865&d=1319805067)http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=22864&d=1319805067&thumb=1 (http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=22864&d=1319805067)

While the price confirms the assumptions made in the beginning of October. Probably, formation of the impulse or the Diagonal Triangle 5 of (1) has begun. If the assumption is true, in November, (at non-interference of the Central Bank of Switzerland), within the limits of its development it is possible to expect continuation of reduction of price.

2. Currency pair EUR/USD.

http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=22867&d=1319805084&thumb=1 (http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=22867&d=1319805084)http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=22866&d=1319805084&thumb=1 (http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=22866&d=1319805084)

While the price moves within the limits of the basic scenario. Presumably, formation of the impulse or the Diagonal Triangle 5 of (1) of [C] has begun. If the assumption is true, in November, within the limits of its complete set it is possible to expect continuation of growth of the price.

3. Currency pair GBP/USD.

http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=22869&d=1319805096&thumb=1 (http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=22869&d=1319805096)http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=22868&d=1319805096&thumb=1 (http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=22868&d=1319805096)

While the price moves within the limits of the forecast. Presumably, the first waves of the impulse or the Diagonal Triangle With of (Y) of [X] are formed. If the assumption is true, within the limits of its complete set it is possible to expect continuation of growth of the price.

4. Currency pair USD/JPY.

http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=22871&d=1319805110&thumb=1 (http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=22871&d=1319805110)http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=22870&d=1319805110&thumb=1 (http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=22870&d=1319805110)

Presumably, formation of the impulse or the Diagonal Triangle [c] of 5 has begun. If the assumption is true, in November within the limits of its complete set it is necessary to expect continuation of falling of the price.

EUR JPY

http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=22873&d=1319805172&thumb=1 (http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=22873&d=1319805172)http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=22872&d=1319805171&thumb=1 (http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=22872&d=1319805171)

While the pair adheres to the forecast. Presumably, formation of the impulse or the wedge [a] of Е of (B) has begun. If the assumption is true, in November within the limits of its development it is necessary to expect continuation of growth of the price.

EUR GBP

http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=22875&d=1319805188&thumb=1 (http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=22875&d=1319805188)http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=22874&d=1319805188&thumb=1 (http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=22874&d=1319805188)

Presumably, the wave (a) of [z] of X is formed. It can take the form of the impulse or the wedge. If the assumption is true, within the limits of its complete set, in November it is necessary to expect continuation of growth of the price.

EUR CHF

http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=22877&d=1319805201&thumb=1 (http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=22877&d=1319805201)http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=22876&d=1319805201&thumb=1 (http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=22876&d=1319805201)

Probably, by the present moment of the complete the correctional wave 2 of (3). If the assumption is true, in November it is possible to expect growth of the price as the impulse 3 of (3).

GBP JPY

http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=22879&d=1319805216&thumb=1 (http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=22879&d=1319805216)http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=22878&d=1319805216&thumb=1 (http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=22878&d=1319805216)

While the price moves within the limits of the forecast. Presumably, the wave (a) of [e] of 4 is formed. If the assumption is true, in November it is possible to expect continuation of strengthening of pair.

USD CAD

http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=22881&d=1319805229&thumb=1 (http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=22881&d=1319805229)http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=22880&d=1319805228&thumb=1 (http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=22880&d=1319805228)

It is not excluded, that by the present moment of the complete correctional wave B of (B). If the assumption is true, in November it is possible to expect reduction of price within the limits of the complete set of the impulse or the Diagonal Triangle With of (B).

AUD USD

http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=22883&d=1319805240&thumb=1 (http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=22883&d=1319805240)http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=22882&d=1319805240&thumb=1 (http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=22882&d=1319805240)

While the price moves within the limits of the forecast. Presumably, formation of the impulse or the Diagonal Triangle 5 of (5) of [C] of b has begun. If the assumption is true, while, within the limits of its development it is possible to expect continuation of growth of the price.

Igor Pak.
Analyst of company Admiral Markets.
igor.pak@forextrade.ee

At any use of the analytical material taken from the site of company Admiral Markets, and the secondary publication on any other resources, the rights to intellectual property for the dealing centre «Admiral Markets», the reference to the site of the company is obligatory.

[igor pak]

The monthly Wave Analysis for December, 2011. Including facultative pairs



USD/CHF.

http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=23136&d=1322757293&thumb=1 (http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=23136&d=1322757293)http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=23137&d=1322757293&thumb=1 (http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=23137&d=1322757293)http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=23135&d=1322757292&thumb=1 (http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=23135&d=1322757292)

The price has introduced the corrective amendments, however falling of US dollar in intermediate term prospect while remains actual. Presumably, the correctional wave (2) impulse or the Diagonal Triangle [C] of z is formed. Probably, it will take the form of the Double Zigzag, W-X-Y at which, in the present development of the impulse or the Diagonal Triangle [c] of X has begun. If the assumption is true, in December, within the limits of its development it is possible to expect falling of the price

EUR/USD.

http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=23139&d=1322757294&thumb=1 (http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=23139&d=1322757294)http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=23140&d=1322757295&thumb=1 (http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=23140&d=1322757295)http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=23138&d=1322757294&thumb=1 (http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=23138&d=1322757294)

The local counting is changed, but growth of euro in intermediate term prospect remains actual. Presumably, now the correctional wave (2) impulse or the Diagonal Triangle [C] of z of (a) is formed. Probably, it will take the form of Double Zigzag W-X-Y at which development of the impulse or the Diagonal Triangle [c] of X has begun. If the assumption is true, within the limits of its complete set, in December it is possible to expect strengthening of pair.

GBP/USD.

http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=23142&d=1322757316&thumb=1 (http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=23142&d=1322757316)http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=23141&d=1322757316&thumb=1 (http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=23141&d=1322757316)

Probably, the complet the correctional wave [ii] the impulse or the Diagonal Triangle With of (Y) of [X]. If the assumption is true, in December it is possible to expect growth of the price as development of the wave [iii] of With.

USD/JPY.

http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=23144&d=1322757317&thumb=1 (http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=23144&d=1322757317)http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=23143&d=1322757317&thumb=1 (http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=23143&d=1322757317)

Presumably, the Zigzag 5, the Diagonal Triangle (5) of [5] of v is formed. If the assumption is true, within the limits of its end it is possible to expect continuation of reduction of price.

EUR/JPY

http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=23146&d=1322757628&thumb=1 (http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=23146&d=1322757628)http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=23145&d=1322757628&thumb=1 (http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=23145&d=1322757628)

Probably, the complet the correctional wave of E. If the assumption is true, in December it is possible to count on growth of the price as development of the impulse or the Diagonal Triangle [c] of E of (B).

[B]EUR/GBP

http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=23148&d=1322757650&thumb=1 (http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=23148&d=1322757650)http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=23147&d=1322757649&thumb=1 (http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=23147&d=1322757649)

Presumably, formation of the wave [x] of X comes to the end. If the assumption is true, in December it is possible to expect its end and the beginning of formation of the ascending wave [z] of X.

EUR/CHF

http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=23150&d=1322757682&thumb=1 (http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=23150&d=1322757682)http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=23149&d=1322757681&thumb=1 (http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=23149&d=1322757681)

In the end of November the local scenario has been modified. Probably, the wave (1) of [A] still continues development and now its correctional wave 4 of (3) is formed. If the assumption is true, after its end it is possible to expect growth of the price as the impulse or the Diagonal Triangle 5 of (1).

GBP/JPY

http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=23152&d=1322757702&thumb=1 (http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=23152&d=1322757702)http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=23151&d=1322757702&thumb=1 (http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=23151&d=1322757702)

Probably, the complet the correctional wave (b) of [e] of 4. If the assumption is true, in December it is possible to expect strengthening of pair as development of the impulse or the Diagonal Triangle (c) of [e] of 4.

USD CAD

http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=23154&d=1322757717&thumb=1 (http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=23154&d=1322757717)http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=23153&d=1322757717&thumb=1 (http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=23153&d=1322757717)

Correctional wave B of (B) is presumably finished. If the assumption is true, in December it is possible to expect reduction of price as formation of the impulse or the Diagonal Triangle With of (B).


AUD/USD

http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=23156&d=1322757733&thumb=1 (http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=23156&d=1322757733)http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=23155&d=1322757732&thumb=1 (http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=23155&d=1322757732)

Presumably, within the limits of formation of the impulse or the Diagonal Triangle 5 of (5) of [C] of b, the complet the correctional wave [ii] of 5. If the assumption is true, in December it is necessary to expect growth of the price as development of the wave [iii] of 5

Igor Pak.
Analyst of company Admiral Markets.
igor.pak@forextrade.ee

At any use of the analytical material taken from the site of company Admiral Markets, and the secondary publication on any other resources, the rights to intellectual property for the dealing centre «Admiral Markets», the reference to the site of the company is obligatory.

[igor pak]

The monthly Wave Analysis for January, 2012.


1. Currency pair USD/CHF.

http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=23368&d=1325266040&thumb=1 (http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=23368&d=1325266040)http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=23369&d=1325266040&thumb=1 (http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=23369&d=1325266040)http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=23367&d=1325266039&thumb=1 (http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=23367&d=1325266039)

Presumably, the correctional wave X of (2) is formed. Probably, it becomes the Expanded Flat correction at which development of the impulse or the Diagonal Triangle [c] of X of (2) has begun. If the assumption is true, in January, within the limits of its development it is possible to expect reduction of price.

2. Currency pair EUR/USD.

http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=23371&d=1325266041&thumb=1 (http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=23371&d=1325266041)http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=23372&d=1325266042&thumb=1 (http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=23372&d=1325266042)http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=23370&d=1325266041&thumb=1 (http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=23370&d=1325266041)

It is not excluded, that by the present moment of the complete the correctional wave (2) of [C]. If the assumption receives confirmation in January it is possible to expect strengthening of euro as development of the first waves of the impulse (3) of [c].

3. Currency pair GBP/USD.

http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=23374&d=1325266043&thumb=1 (http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=23374&d=1325266043)http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=23373&d=1325266042&thumb=1 (http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=23373&d=1325266042)

Probably, the Diagonal Triangle [c] Expanded Flat B of (Y) comes to the end or the complete. If the assumption is true, after its terminations it is possible to expect growth of the cable as development of the first waves of the impulse or the Diagonal Triangle With of (Y) of [X].

4. Currency pair USD/JPY.

http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=23376&d=1325266044&thumb=1 (http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=23376&d=1325266044)http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=23375&d=1325266044&thumb=1 (http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=23375&d=1325266044)

Probably, formation of the impulse or the Diagonal Triangle [c] of 5 of (5) of [5] of v has begun. If the assumption it is true, within the limits of its complete set it is possible to expect continuation of reduction of price.

Igor Pak.
Analyst of company Admiral Markets.
igor.pak@forextrade.ee

At any use of the analytical material taken from the site of company Admiral Markets, and the secondary publication on any other resources, the rights to intellectual property for the dealing centre «Admiral Markets», the reference to the site of the company is obligatory.

[igor pak]

The monthly Wave Analysis for February, 2012.

1. Currency pair USD/CHF.

http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=23673&d=1328450091&thumb=1 (http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=23673&d=1328450091)http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=23672&d=1328450090&thumb=1 (http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=23672&d=1328450090)

In January the price moved in line with expectations . Supposedly, the first waves of the impulse (3) of [C] are forming . If this assumption is correct, in the course of its development we can expect continuation a downward price movement.

2. Currency pair EUR/USD.

http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=23675&d=1328450092&thumb=1 (http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=23675&d=1328450092)http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=23674&d=1328450092&thumb=1 (http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=23674&d=1328450092)

Presumably, the first waves of the impulse (3) of [C] are forming . If this assumption is correct, in line with its development we can expect continuation the upward price movement. But there is no confirmation of this yet.

3. Currency pair GBP/USD.

http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=23677&d=1328450093&thumb=1 (http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=23677&d=1328450093)http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=23676&d=1328450093&thumb=1 (http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=23676&d=1328450093)

Meanwhile the price moves in line with expectations. Presumably the Expanded Flat B of (X) is completed and the development of the the impulse or Diagonal Triangle C of (Y) of [X] has begun . If this assumption is correct, in the course of its development we can expect an upward price movement.


4. Currency pair USD/JPY.

http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=23679&d=1328450094&thumb=1 (http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=23679&d=1328450094)http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=23678&d=1328450094&thumb=1 (http://forum.admiralmarkets.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=23678&d=1328450094)

Presumably, the final wave 5 of (5) Diagonal Triangles (5) of [5] of v is forming . If this assumption is correct, in line with its development we can expect the continuation a downward price movement.



Igor Pak.
Analyst of company Admiral Markets.
igor.pak@forextrade.ee

At any use of the analytical material taken from the site of company Admiral Markets, and the secondary publication on any other resources, the rights to intellectual property for the dealing centre «Admiral Markets», the reference to the site of the company is obligatory.